The closest thing to a safe hiding place that investors in precious
metal miners can find today is a company with a clean balance sheet and a
competitive cost structure. Fortuna Silver (FSM)
seems to fit the bill, as the company's cash production costs are on
the correct side of industry-wide averages and the company has a net
cash position with no particularly demanding capital requirements in the
near term.
Even though Fortuna Silver has a better cost position than Pan American Silver (PAAS) and Coeur Mining (CDE),
the all-in sustaining cost of more than $20/oz is a little higher than
the current spot price of silver. What that suggests to me is that cash
flow is likely to get tight if silver prices don't recover, as I am not
convinced that the company has the scope to significantly curtail costs
from here. I do believe that the stock is trading at an attractive price
relative to its NAV, but investors should note that Fortuna's current
price would seem to be forecasting silver prices at least 10% lower than
today's level.
Follow this link to read more:
Solid Costs And Expansion Potential For Fortuna Silver
Showing posts with label Coeur Mining. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Coeur Mining. Show all posts
Friday, December 27, 2013
Monday, December 23, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Improving Costs, Clean Balance Sheet Not Sparing Pan American Silver
If you mine anything, 2013 was probably a painful year and if you mine precious metals, it was a horror show. The Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is down more than 50% over the past year, the Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is down more than 60%, and the Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL)
is down about as much as the GDX (52%). It's not hard to figure out
why, as falling prices, rising costs, and debt-laden balance sheets have
all contributed to a mass exodus from the space.
In the rush to the door, I think Pan American Silver (PAAS) may have been unfairly trampled. It is absolutely true that PAAS is going to be hard-pressed to attract investor interest if silver prices keep falling, but there is at least the downside protection of an improving cost structure, lower capex, and a clean balance sheet. Trading just under its net asset value, I believe Pan American may be a good place to look for those investors who still want to own a silver miner.
Follow this link to read the full article:
Improving Costs, Clean Balance Sheet Not Sparing Pan American Silver
In the rush to the door, I think Pan American Silver (PAAS) may have been unfairly trampled. It is absolutely true that PAAS is going to be hard-pressed to attract investor interest if silver prices keep falling, but there is at least the downside protection of an improving cost structure, lower capex, and a clean balance sheet. Trading just under its net asset value, I believe Pan American may be a good place to look for those investors who still want to own a silver miner.
Follow this link to read the full article:
Improving Costs, Clean Balance Sheet Not Sparing Pan American Silver
Labels:
BHP Billiton,
Coeur Mining,
Fresnillo,
KGHM,
Pan American Silver,
Seeking Alpha
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