The market has turned very hostile toward high-risk small-cap med-tech companies, and Sunshine Heart (NASDAQ:SSH)
has long struggled to deliver the sort of progress that would make it
easy to argue that the market is being unfair. Although the company has
resolved a clinical hold, enrollment rates have been an ongoing
long-term disappointment and the company's targets for reimbursed
procedures have proven much too optimistic. With that, that company's
prospects for finishing its pivotal COUNTER HF trial, let alone
advancing a better, fully implantable, version of its technology without
exceptionally dilutive/expensive financing has basically vanished.
The company's C-Pulse device does seem to provide benefits and
quality of life improvements to the majority of patients who get it, but
the ongoing issues with site and patient enrollment would seem to speak
to more significant problems at the management and strategic level. At
this point, these shares look more like a lottery ticket - there are
paths by which these shares could succeed from here (including both
buyout and go-it-alone strategies), but between the financing and
operational issues, it's also quite possible that further losses are in
store for shareholders.
Continue here:
Can Sunshine Heart Survive To See The Dawn?
Showing posts with label Sunshine Heart. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sunshine Heart. Show all posts
Sunday, February 28, 2016
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Seeking Alpha: Sunshine Heart's Path Is Long, But The Rewards Could Be Enormous
In the multiple times I've written about Sunshine Heart (NASDAQ:SSH), I've tried to emphasize the point
that this is a "consenting adults" type of stock - the commercial
promise of an effective device therapy that can not only halt the
progression of heart failure but hold the line (and maybe improve it) is
tremendous, but this is an undercapitalized company that still has to
establish that the device works and that they can commercialize it.
Looking at other cardiology device companies, I believe there is at least a credible chance that Sunshine can generate $300 million or more in revenue ten years from now, with a gross margin in the 70%s and an operating margin potentially in the 30%s. Discounted back and adjusted for further funding needs, I continue to believe that $7 to $9 per share is a reasonable valuation range for what could well be a high-risk/high-reward story.
Read the full article here:
Sunshine Heart's Path Is Long, But The Rewards Could Be Enormous
Looking at other cardiology device companies, I believe there is at least a credible chance that Sunshine can generate $300 million or more in revenue ten years from now, with a gross margin in the 70%s and an operating margin potentially in the 30%s. Discounted back and adjusted for further funding needs, I continue to believe that $7 to $9 per share is a reasonable valuation range for what could well be a high-risk/high-reward story.
Read the full article here:
Sunshine Heart's Path Is Long, But The Rewards Could Be Enormous
Labels:
Novartis,
Seeking Alpha,
Sunshine Heart
Friday, January 16, 2015
Seeking Alpha: Clouds Still Mar Sunshine Heart's Outlook
Development-stage med-tech Sunshine Heart (NASDAQ:SSH)
has had a good run up from its mid-December lows, and the company
continues to move forward with the clinical development of a
device-based approach for congestive heart failure that could mark a
real improvement in quality of care. That said, the company continues to
see frustratingly slow enrollment and pushback on reimbursement.
Unfortunately, there don't appear to be easy solutions to Sunshine Heart's primary problem - it lacks the resources of major cardiology companies like Boston Scientific (NYSE:BSX), Medtronic (NYSE:MDT), or St. Jude Medical (NYSE:STJ) that could otherwise support and encourage enrollment. Getting the FDA's permission to run an interim analysis would certainly help, and the shares do appear undervalued, but the company is climbing a steep hill and investors shouldn't kid themselves into thinking that the need for a better treatment for heart failure and the apparent efficacy of Sunshine's C-Pulse system will, on their own, ensure a successful outcome.
Read more here:
Clouds Still Mar Sunshine Heart's Outlook
Unfortunately, there don't appear to be easy solutions to Sunshine Heart's primary problem - it lacks the resources of major cardiology companies like Boston Scientific (NYSE:BSX), Medtronic (NYSE:MDT), or St. Jude Medical (NYSE:STJ) that could otherwise support and encourage enrollment. Getting the FDA's permission to run an interim analysis would certainly help, and the shares do appear undervalued, but the company is climbing a steep hill and investors shouldn't kid themselves into thinking that the need for a better treatment for heart failure and the apparent efficacy of Sunshine's C-Pulse system will, on their own, ensure a successful outcome.
Read more here:
Clouds Still Mar Sunshine Heart's Outlook
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Seeking Alpha: Will Sunshine Heart Get Schooled If Enrollment Disappoints Again?
Sunshine Heart (SSH)
shares have taken a beating since their fall 2013 peak, falling about
60% from their peak on a combination of slow pivotal trial enrollment
and a sharp turn away from risky, speculative health care stocks. With
Sunshine Heart due to report results tomorrow (May 13), it is a safe bet
that investors will be keenly focused on the enrollment figures for the
COUNTER-HF study, even though it may be too optimistic to assume that
the company's awareness efforts have had a major impact at this point.
Read more here:
Will Sunshine Heart Get Schooled If Enrollment Disappoints Again?
Read more here:
Will Sunshine Heart Get Schooled If Enrollment Disappoints Again?
Labels:
Cyberonics,
Heartware,
Medtronic,
Seeking Alpha,
Sunshine Heart,
Thoratec
Monday, December 16, 2013
The Motley Fool: New Ideas Offer Hope for Both Heart Failure Patients and Investors
Steep valuations and uncertainty about adoption have created a lot of volatility in the shares of HeartWare International (NASDAQ: HTWR ) and Thoratec (NASDAQ: THOR )
, the leading developers of ventricular assist devices or VADs that
help seriously ill heart failure patients live longer, better lives.
While these companies serve a patient population that is desperately in
need of better therapy and can support over $1 billion in revenue, there
has always been a bigger market in less seriously ill heart failure
patients. Sunshine Heart (NASDAQ: SSH )
has advanced a very interesting approach for these patients into a
pivotal U.S. study, while HeartWare has just recently acquired its own
pathway into what could be a multibillion dollar opportunity.
Continue here to The Motley Fool:
New Ideas Offer Hope for Both Heart Failure Patients and Investors
Continue here to The Motley Fool:
New Ideas Offer Hope for Both Heart Failure Patients and Investors
Monday, September 23, 2013
MassDevice: Despite A Long Road Ahead, Sunshine Heart Is Worth A Serious Look
If you've been following the medical device (and/or pharmaceutical)
space for a while, you know that congestive heart failure is one of the
nastiest, hardest to treat, chronic conditions out there. There's really
no way to reverse the disease short of a heart transplant, and the
drugs and device therapies available sort themselves out between
"largely ineffective" and "effective, but with serious issues".
That's terrible news for those patients who have congestive heart failure, but it leaves a tremendous opportunity for Sunshine Heart (NSDQ:SSH). This small-cap med-tech from Minnesota appears to have an ingenious solution to the problem, one that is based around well-understood principles and relatively simple technology. Although it will be at least four to five years before commercialization in the U.S., and that's only if the pivotal study shows adequate efficacy and an acceptable risk/benefit profile, this is definitely a name to watch in the med-tech space as the company looks to bring a new option to the table for seriously ill CHF patients.
Read the full article here:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/despite-long-road-ahead-sunshine-heart-worth-serious-look
That's terrible news for those patients who have congestive heart failure, but it leaves a tremendous opportunity for Sunshine Heart (NSDQ:SSH). This small-cap med-tech from Minnesota appears to have an ingenious solution to the problem, one that is based around well-understood principles and relatively simple technology. Although it will be at least four to five years before commercialization in the U.S., and that's only if the pivotal study shows adequate efficacy and an acceptable risk/benefit profile, this is definitely a name to watch in the med-tech space as the company looks to bring a new option to the table for seriously ill CHF patients.
Read the full article here:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/despite-long-road-ahead-sunshine-heart-worth-serious-look
Thursday, March 7, 2013
Seeking Alpha: HeartWare Is Premium-Priced Growth, But Could Still Go Higher
Just in recent memory, investors have had little problem with talking highly-valued med-tech stories like Edwards Lifesciences (EW), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), and Cepheid (CPHD) and pushing them even higher on their uncommonly strong revenue growth numbers. Along those same lines, I think HeartWare (HTWR)
could continue to head higher, despite an already rich valuation, on
news of strong share/unit growth. That said, investors would do well to
notice that the three aforementioned stocks have all had periods where
the stock sold off pretty sharply (and pretty quickly), so HeartWare is
not for the faint of heart.
Read more here:
HeartWare Is Premium-Priced Growth, But Could Still Go Higher
Read more here:
HeartWare Is Premium-Priced Growth, But Could Still Go Higher
Thursday, February 21, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Risky Sunshine Heart Looks Very Interesting
I spent close to a decade following small-cap med-tech companies, and
in that time I learned to be very skeptical whenever a company talked
about having a potential treatment for congestive heart failure. While
there are indeed many heart failure patients in the U.S. and EU and
there are depressingly few treatment options (particularly for the more
serious patients), companies, devices, and technologies have often
proved long on hype and hope and short on real-world efficacy and cost
benefit.
Maybe, just maybe, Sunshine Heart (SSH) will be different. The dearth of clinical data creates substantial risk here, as does the long timeline to pivotal trial completion and potential FDA approval. Even still, in a med-tech world with few highly promising companies trading at reasonable values, Sunshine is at least worth a look from aggressive risk-tolerant investors.
Please read the full article here:
Risky Sunshine Heart Looks Very Interesting
Maybe, just maybe, Sunshine Heart (SSH) will be different. The dearth of clinical data creates substantial risk here, as does the long timeline to pivotal trial completion and potential FDA approval. Even still, in a med-tech world with few highly promising companies trading at reasonable values, Sunshine is at least worth a look from aggressive risk-tolerant investors.
Please read the full article here:
Risky Sunshine Heart Looks Very Interesting
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