Friday, January 7, 2011

Investopedia: Will Aussie Flooding Rain On China's Parade?

Australia's summer has brought more than its usual wet season to parts of the country. This year the large northeastern state of Queensland has seen devastating flooding; the sort of flooding that leads to world news clips of people paddling boats through streets and animals seeking refuge wherever they can from the waters. Though the human toll of the disaster is likely to be severe for Australians, there are economic impacts that will stretch beyond the country and be felt throughout 2011. 

Trouble In Coal
Australia is a major producer of metallurgical coal, and mines in Queensland produce about half of the country's supply of this critical steel component. In particular, China is critically dependent upon Australia's met coal mines to feed its ever-hungry steel sector. With about 90 million tonnes of met coal already subject to force majeure, it would seem that steel customers in Asia are going to have to scramble (and pay up) to find the coal to fuel their blast furnaces.

BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP), Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO), Wesfarmers and Xstrata all have major met coal operations in Australia. Even for those companies and mines that are relatively less affected, there is the issue of the ports and rails - flooding has damaged infrastructure and delayed ship loadings, and it will take some time to work through the backlog. While companies like Xstrata do have other producing areas (South Africa for Xstrata, for instance), there is only so much coal to go around. Likewise, for companies like Peabody (NYSE:BTU), which does have some operations in New South Wales (in addition to Queensland), there is only so much they can do to increase mine production in the short term.
 

Please follow the link below:
http://stocks.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/2011/Will-Aussie-Flooding-Rain-On-Chinas-Parade-RIO-BHP-BTU-TCK-ANR-MEE-CZZ0107.aspx

I realize this isn't really "news" anymore ... unfortunately, it got held up in queue. 

No comments: