Normally you would think that having a differentiated and proprietary
diabetes compound with solid supporting data would make a biotech
relatively popular. That would often be particularly true in cases where
the drug class has already proven to be pretty popular with drug
companies and started to generate real interest among clinicians.
Unfortunately for Lexicon Pharmaceuticals' (LXRX)
shareholders, things aren't going to plan yet. The company's LX4211
remains the only compound I'm aware of that inhibits both SGLT1 and
SGLT2 (other drugs just address SGLT2) and the data have been good so
far. Yet, another SGLT2 partnership deal has gone off in the space
without including Lexicon - forcing investors to wonder whether a good
partnership deal actually is out there to be had and/or whether the
company will have to contemplate going it alone into Phase III studies.
Please keep reading here:
No News Becoming Bad News For Lexicon Pharmaceuticals
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
Seeking Alpha: No News Becoming Bad News For Lexicon Pharmaceuticals
Seeking Alpha: Erickson Air-Crane Has Scarcity, But Value Is Difficult To Judge
Every so often, an investor will set out to research a company
expecting to find a certain type of company and find something
completely different. That happens to be the case with me and Erickson Air-Crane (EAC).
I originally began my research here thinking I was going to be looking
at a small specialty aircraft manufacturer, but instead found myself
looking at an increasingly diversified heavy-lift and helicopter service
specialist.
Erickson certainly has some interesting points going for it. It is one of the largest providers of helicopter-based heavy lift services in the country, and management is focused on diversifying and maximizing the company's revenue opportunity. While I think consolidation and diversification can deliver interesting growth in the years to come, the debt-heavy balance sheet throws a few kinks into the valuation analysis.
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Erickson Air-Crane Has Scarcity, But Value Is Difficult To Judge
Erickson certainly has some interesting points going for it. It is one of the largest providers of helicopter-based heavy lift services in the country, and management is focused on diversifying and maximizing the company's revenue opportunity. While I think consolidation and diversification can deliver interesting growth in the years to come, the debt-heavy balance sheet throws a few kinks into the valuation analysis.
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Erickson Air-Crane Has Scarcity, But Value Is Difficult To Judge
Monday, April 29, 2013
Investopedia: Alcatel-Lucent Looking At Long Road, But Not Starting From Scratch
To get a sense of just how badly wrong the Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) story has gone, consider that the combined company has never produced a full year of positive free cash flow since the 2006 merger. What's more, while the company still has very relevant share in areas like edge routing, rivals like Ciena (Nasdaq:CIEN), Huawei, and ZTE have been taking share, while companies like Nokia Siemens Networks get their acts together.
That's all pretty well known, though, and part of the reason the stock sits below $1.50 today. With a new CEO, new products, and new market opportunities, perhaps Alcatel-Lucent has new life to offer shareholders.
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That's all pretty well known, though, and part of the reason the stock sits below $1.50 today. With a new CEO, new products, and new market opportunities, perhaps Alcatel-Lucent has new life to offer shareholders.
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Alcatel-Lucent,
Ciena,
Cisco,
Ericsson,
Huawei,
Investopedia,
Juniper,
Nokia Siemens,
ZTE
Investopedia: It Gets A Little Harder From Here For Covidien
Covidien (NYSE:COV) has been one of the strongest large-cap med-tech stories over the past year or so. At a time when companies like Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Stryker (NYSE:SYK), Medtronic (NYSE:MDT), and Bard (NYSE:BCR) have been struggling to report much of any organic growth,
Covidien has been solidly in the mid-single digits as the company reaps
the benefit of past investments in R&D and product development.
Nothing lasts forever, though, and it looks like Covidien is lapping some challenging comparables. What's more, the overall healthcare market remains pretty sluggish and many of Covidien's rivals have stepped up their game with new product introductions. The spin-off of Mallinckrodt could unlock some value, but it looks like the market is pretty well up to speed with Covidien's value.
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Nothing lasts forever, though, and it looks like Covidien is lapping some challenging comparables. What's more, the overall healthcare market remains pretty sluggish and many of Covidien's rivals have stepped up their game with new product introductions. The spin-off of Mallinckrodt could unlock some value, but it looks like the market is pretty well up to speed with Covidien's value.
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Investopedia: Total Looks Cheap, But There's A Reason
Some investors and commentators treat the international oil majors as an
undifferentiated mass, suggesting that investors need only follow
dividend yields and/or PE ratios to find the best bargains at a given point in time. Total (NYSE:TOT)
offers a good example of why that's not a very good approach. While
Total's aggressive exploration program could offer some upside to
production and profits down the road, the company's leverage to high oil
prices and lower margins/returns underline a riskier business model
that ought to trade at some discount to peers.
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Investopedia: Good Profitability And Relative Valuation Make Chevron Interesting
If Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) had the wrong kind of earnings beat, it would seem that Chevron (NYSE:CVX) had the right sort of miss. More to the point, Chevron continues to operate one of the most profitable upstream
businesses among the oil majors, and the company has a rich pipeline of
growth projects to maintain higher production levels across the next
five years. Coupled with an undemanding valuation, Chevron looks like a
solid name to consider for broad international energy exposure.
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Labels:
BP,
Chevron,
ConocoPhillips,
Exxon Mobil,
Hess,
Investopedia,
Petrobras
Investopedia: Starbucks' Special Model Is Valuable, But Maybe Not This Valuable
Normally talking about “liquid meals” is something reserved for college students, but the reality is that Starbucks (Nasdaq:SBUX)
has long since proven that there's room in the quick service restaurant
(QSR) for something other than burgers and sandwiches. Starbucks has
likewise capitalized on the brand value it built through its stores by
establishing a significant retail/commercial presence that few
restaurants come close to matching.
I don't want to make the mistake of underestimating what Starbucks can become. There's still ample room for store expansion in much of the world, not to mention additional products in the retail channel and follow-on markets like teas and pastries.
The only question I have is what this is all worth. On one hand, Starbucks doesn't seem priced all that out of line with successful QSR operators like McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), Chipotle (NYSE:CMG), or Dunkin' (Nasdaq:DNKN), nor successful packaged food and beverage companies like Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), Mondelez (Nasdaq:MDLZ), and Nestle (OTC:NSRGY). On the other hand, investors have to either expect strong high-teens free cash flow (FCF) growth for at least another decade or accept relatively unimpressive expected annual returns for today's valuation to make a lot of sense.
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I don't want to make the mistake of underestimating what Starbucks can become. There's still ample room for store expansion in much of the world, not to mention additional products in the retail channel and follow-on markets like teas and pastries.
The only question I have is what this is all worth. On one hand, Starbucks doesn't seem priced all that out of line with successful QSR operators like McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), Chipotle (NYSE:CMG), or Dunkin' (Nasdaq:DNKN), nor successful packaged food and beverage companies like Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), Mondelez (Nasdaq:MDLZ), and Nestle (OTC:NSRGY). On the other hand, investors have to either expect strong high-teens free cash flow (FCF) growth for at least another decade or accept relatively unimpressive expected annual returns for today's valuation to make a lot of sense.
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Labels:
Green Mountain Coffee,
Investopedia,
McDonald's,
Mondelez,
Nestle,
Starbucks
Investopedia: Slower Growth And Better Margins Probably Won't Help Amazon
If you ask most of the sell-side analysts and investors who follow Amazon.com (Nasdaq:AMZN)
if they want high growth or stronger margins, I suspect that the answer
will be “yes, both of those”. As a company with more than $100 billion
in enterprise value and pretty eye-popping profit/earnings multiples,
there are a lot of demands on Amazon and a lot of expectations about
what the company ought to be. Although I do believe that Amazon's growth
is likely to continue to slow (with improving margins) and that the
cash flow-based valuation is reasonable, it won't surprise me if the
stock stays stuck in this range of $255 to $275 for a little while
longer.
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Seeking Alpha: Illumina Flexes Its Muscles A Bit
The strong revenue growth and lucrative margins of Illumina's (ILMN)
core sequencing business has attracted ample competition over the
years. It's testament to the quality of Illumina's technology (both
acquired and internally-developed), though that a lot of these
competitive attempts have only served to highlight the attributes and
advantages of the company's approach.
I certainly have my questions and doubts about Illumina. I do think the company was caught a little flat-footed by the success of Life Technologies' (LIFE) Ion Torrent products, and my talks with several people in academic/research labs do lead me to believe they rushed their high-throughput products to market (leading to some unhappy customers). Last and not least, I think that Street expectations for sequencing-driven clinical diagnostics could be ambitious. All of that said, though, it's hard not to acknowledge and appreciate the business that Illumina is building here.
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Illumina Flexes Its Muscles A Bit
I certainly have my questions and doubts about Illumina. I do think the company was caught a little flat-footed by the success of Life Technologies' (LIFE) Ion Torrent products, and my talks with several people in academic/research labs do lead me to believe they rushed their high-throughput products to market (leading to some unhappy customers). Last and not least, I think that Street expectations for sequencing-driven clinical diagnostics could be ambitious. All of that said, though, it's hard not to acknowledge and appreciate the business that Illumina is building here.
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Labels:
IBM,
Illumina,
Life Technologies,
Pacific Biosciences,
Roche,
Seeking Alpha,
Thermo Fisher
Seeking Alpha: Maybe More Than Meets The Eye To Stryker's Numbers
With a majority of the major orthopedic and medical technology companies
having reported now, it's pretty clear that key markets like
orthopedics and surgery are still seeing pretty sluggish performance.
Yet the stocks of companies like Stryker (SYK), Zimmer (ZMH), and Covidien (COV)
have done pretty well over the last year, as investors look for
performance to rebound and return to names that were beaten up a little
too much. Though I still think there's money to be made in Stryker's
stock, the gains are likely to be more gradual from here.
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Maybe More Than Meets The Eye To Stryker's Numbers
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Maybe More Than Meets The Eye To Stryker's Numbers
Thursday, April 25, 2013
Investopedia: 3M Ends Up In The Same Industrial Tar Pit As Everybody Else
Investors who prize 3M's (NYSE:MMM)
ability to muddle through the tough times a little better than most had
to be a little disappointed with the company's first quarter results.
Not only did the company miss on the top line, but the company's
reported and incremental margins were soft. Although 3M continues to
look like a solid long-term core industrial holding, the company is
going to need to deliver better results if there's an argument to be
made for paying a premium for the shares.
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Labels:
3M,
Corning,
Danaher,
Dover,
DuPont,
Honeywell,
Illinois Tool Works,
Investopedia
Investopedia: Exxon Mobil's Profits And Growth Fail To Impress
As trite as it sounds, Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM)
is what it is – a huge international oil, gas, refining, and chemical
monolith that effectively refines crude oil and natural gas into
shareholder capital. The process isn't always pretty (as witnessed by
the recent pipeline spill in Arkansas) and it's getting harder to
squeeze out the same level of profitability as before, but Exxon is
still among the best-run oil and gas majors in the market. A little
undervalued today, Exxon could offer some upside to investors who want a
relatively lower-risk way to play energy.
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Labels:
BP,
Chevron,
ConocoPhillips,
Exxon Mobil,
Investopedia
Investopedia: Investors Can't Seem To Get Enough Of Hershey
I have to give credit where it's due – Hershey (NYSE:HSY)
is definitely one of the strongest stories in packaged/branded food
today. While there are a few relative newcomers showing better volume
growth (from a much smaller base), Hershey continues to lead the way
when it comes to the large U.S. companies. Better still, Hershey is
mixing that growth with strong margin leverage and making a pretty
pleasing combo. Although I still think these shares carry a premium
valuation, it's hard to argue with a story where management is making so
many of the right moves.
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Labels:
Coca-Cola,
Hershey,
Investopedia,
Mondelez,
Nestle,
Procter Gamble
Investopedia: Are Market Factors Pushing Qualcomm Into The Penalty Box?
Financial writers often talk about overlooked or obscure stocks as
though it's a bad thing to operate outside of the 24-7 glare of Wall
Street attention. When it comes to stocks like Qualcomm (Nasdaq:QCOM),
though, maybe a little obscurity would be a good thing. Although I can
understand that investors are worried about the fundamental trends in
the mobile device market, it seems like matters always get taken up a
notch when it involves Qualcomm. To that end, while I wouldn't be
surprised if this stock remains volatile through the summer (or the
remainder of the year, for that matter), I think the underlying value
here still makes it worth a look.
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Investopedia: Given Procter & Gamble's Performance, Should The Weak Volumes Matter More?
Investors seem to love gaudy expense-reduction programs, and Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG)
shares have certainly done better since Bill Ackman's Pershing Square
got involved and management announced a $10 billion cost-cutting
program. P&G's performance isn't so unusual in the wider context of a
hot market for consumer staple
stocks, but it's looking more and more like investors are overpaying
for the margin improvement potential and earnings consistency of these
names. Barring a quick turnaround in volumes, it looks like P&G
shares have overshot the mark and offer less compelling potential from
today's level.
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Wednesday, April 24, 2013
Investopedia: Absent Macro Shocks, Cash And Expenses Will Drive Boeing
A year ago I thought that Boeing (NYSE:BA)
looked undervalued and ready to outperform as investors bought in to
the company's considerable commercial ramp. Since then, the stock is up
about 20% and although worries about batteries on the 787 did create
some headaches, the company remains in good shape with respect to its
market share and backlog. I still believe that Boeing should sport a
triple-digit stock price and though I won't ignore the risks of a major
macroeconomic slowdown, I think the biggest concerns for Boeing are now
reaching cost/profit targets and how to use the considerable sums of
cash it will generate.
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Airbus,
Boeing,
Bombardier,
COMAC,
Embraer,
General Electric,
Honeywell,
Investopedia,
Lockheed Martin
Investopedia: The Defenestration Of Apple Continues
As I suggested back in January on this website, I thought Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL)
could have further to fall as growth investors and fan-boys dove off
the bandwagon in the wake of less-than-perfect execution. In that short
space of time, the shares dropped about 20%, leading to a huge loss of
shareholder wealth (at least on paper).
Apple is a curious stock to me now. I do believe that the stock is too cheap relative to what I see as the probable trajectory of revenue and cash flow. By the same token, I've been at this too long to underestimate the headwinds that a stock can face when a large base of shareholders becomes disenchanted with a story and moves on for greener pastures. I do believe that patient investors will do better than just okay in Apple shares from these levels, but investors buying in today have to accept at least the risk of a further over-correction on the downside before the shares start to perform again.
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Apple is a curious stock to me now. I do believe that the stock is too cheap relative to what I see as the probable trajectory of revenue and cash flow. By the same token, I've been at this too long to underestimate the headwinds that a stock can face when a large base of shareholders becomes disenchanted with a story and moves on for greener pastures. I do believe that patient investors will do better than just okay in Apple shares from these levels, but investors buying in today have to accept at least the risk of a further over-correction on the downside before the shares start to perform again.
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Labels:
Amazon,
Apple,
Blackberry,
Google,
Investopedia,
Nokia,
Samsung
Investopedia: Another Revision Doesn't Make It Easier To Like Juniper
I thought that 2013 could be the year where long-suffering stocks like Ciena (Nasdaq:CIEN) and Juniper (NYSE:JNPR) earned a little love from the Street. So far that hasn't been the case, though Cisco (Nasdaq:CSCO) and Ericsson (Nasdaq:ERIC) have shown some signs of life.
The real question for Juniper remains what it has been for some time now – can the company take/regain share from companies like Cisco and Alcatel Lucent (NYSE:ALU) in routing, gain share in switching, and stabilize the security business? Although carrier spending has been looking and sounding a little better, another downward revision in Juniper's guidance makes it harder to step up and take a chance with this stock.
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The real question for Juniper remains what it has been for some time now – can the company take/regain share from companies like Cisco and Alcatel Lucent (NYSE:ALU) in routing, gain share in switching, and stabilize the security business? Although carrier spending has been looking and sounding a little better, another downward revision in Juniper's guidance makes it harder to step up and take a chance with this stock.
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Investopedia: Good Long-Term Trends, But Softer Conditions Today At United Technologies
It's pretty clear that United Technologies (NYSE:UTX)
has built itself around two principal themes – the increasing
urbanization of the world and the increasing accessibility of commercial
air travel in emerging markets. While these look like good horses to
ride for the long haul, they don't promise great growth every year. In
addition, United Technologies still has to prove that it can
successfully integrate Goodrich and make this expensive deal a
value-creator for the long term.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2013
Investopedia: DuPont's Cyclicality Seems Overpriced
It seems like there is a segment of the investment community that is committed to believing that DuPont (NYSE:DD)
will eventually figure out the right mix of businesses that will let it
transcend its historical cyclicality and volatility. To be fair,
management at DuPont has always been willing to move into
higher-potential areas like agriculture, performance materials, and
nutrition, but these efforts have never managed to decouple the close
correlation of the company's performance and global GDP growth.
Accordingly, I'm not sure I'd want to pay a premium to buy these shares.
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Dow Chemical,
DuPont,
Huntsman,
Investopedia,
Monsanto,
Syngenta
Investopedia: Good Margins Outweigh Weak Growth For ITW Investors
You never can quite tell what the market will value on one day or the
next. For much of this reporting cycle growth has been all that
investors have cared about, but the market seems to be making an
exception for Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW).
Although management came in short of growth targets for the first
quarter and lowered guidance for the rest of the year, investors seem to
think the better margin results are fair compensation.
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Investopedia: Texas Instruments Not Quite In The Clear Yet
We’re about one-third of the way into the year, and 2013 isn't shaping
up as a banner year for chip stocks. Although there is a widespread
expectation that the industrial and automotive markets will improve,
analysts are still unsure of the path for communications infrastructure,
handsets, consumer electronics, and PCs. With Texas Instruments (Nasdaq:TXN)
holding on to considerable margin leverage tied to utilization,
industry-wide order and shipment volumes could well point to just how
strong of a year this large chip company will have.
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Investopedia: Is Caterpillar Facing A New Normal In Mining?
For those investors who believed a year ago that Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) had somehow outgrown its cyclicality,
the past twelve months have been a painful reminder that it's never
“different this time”. The real question now, though, is what the new
normal will look like. Although there's good reason to believe that
Caterpillar's power and construction businesses can do better, the
longer-term outlook for mining isn't as robust anymore. There is
certainly the risk that estimates head even lower, but Caterpillar
shares are starting to look a little interesting in terms of value.
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Labels:
Atlas Copco,
Caterpillar,
Joy Global,
Komatsu,
Rio Tinto,
Terex,
Vale,
Volvo
Investopedia: Strong Execution Justifies Honeywell's Price
Many investors are so obsessed with finding bargains that they sometimes
overlook excellent companies trading at reasonable valuations. This can
be a long-term mistake, as it is often better to own the more expensive
stocks of superior companies. That seems like a relevant point with Honeywell (NYSE:HON)
today. While these shares are not significantly undervalued today, the
quality of the company's execution and the prospects for better margins
(and growth) argue for a long-term position.
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Labels:
ABB,
BorgWarner,
Emerson,
General Electric,
Honeywell,
Investopedia,
Johnson Controls,
Siemens
Investopedia: Halliburton Has Gotten Interesting Again
Slipping oil prices have definitely taken the steam out of what had been
a strong seasonal move in many oil service and equipment stocks. Even
so, many in the oil and gas industry seem to think that rig counts have
bottomed and that exploration and production activity will start picking
up again in 2013 barring a major economic downturn. While the timing
and magnitude of that recovery does present some risk to Halliburton (NYSE:HAL)
investors, today's valuation looks like a pretty attractive entry point
to play an eventual recovery in the services and equipment sector.
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Labels:
Apache,
Baker Hughes,
Caterpillar,
General Electric,
Halliburton,
Investopedia,
Lufkin,
Weatherford
Investopedia: Kimberly-Clark Looks Way Too Expensive For What It Is
Investors can certainly make good money investing in well-run personal
care companies with solid brands. Along those lines, names like Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE:CL), Unilever (NYSE:UN), and Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB)
have all delivered very strong capital gains over the past year. In the
case of Kimberly-Clark in particular, though, I do worry that this
consumer staples melt-up has gone a little too far. I do like the
company's growth potential in emerging markets, but commodity inflation
could threaten further margin improvements and I believe the stock is
too expensive relative to its growth prospects.
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Investopedia: Schlumberger Looks Good At Today's Prices
For better or worse, Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB)
is a stock that will give investors multiple second chances. Although
this company is regarded as the best of the oil services companies, the
ups and downs of the energy market (and the resulting impacts on
exploration, drilling, and production activity) lead to wide swings in
operating performance and the stock price. With surprisingly solid
margins, signs of improvement in North American activity, and strong
multi-year prospects in deepwater, subsea, and international projects,
this could be a good time to consider these shares.
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Labels:
Baker Hughes,
Cameron,
Halliburton,
Investopedia,
Schlumberger
Friday, April 19, 2013
Invesotpedia: GE's Guidance Wasn't Great, But Expectations Seem Low
Many investors are desperately hanging on to the idea that the economy will spring back in the second half and validate the multiples in the market. When companies like General Electric (NYSE:GE)
report earnings and give guidance that makes that second-half recovery
look shakier, the stocks pay the price. While I understand short-term
investors selling GE on disappointment over the company's outlook, the
stock still seems too cheap from a long-term cash flow perspective.
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Investopedia: Is Controversy About Robot-Assisted Surgery Showing Up In Intuitive Surgical's Numbers?
There has always been controversy around Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq:ISRG)
and its daVinci robotic surgical system. In recent months this
controversy has reignited over allegations that device
malfunctions/adverse events are increasing and that the system is little
more than an expensive, unnecessary toy in procedures like minimally
invasive hysterectomy. Making matters worse, this has long been an
expensive stock where success has been predicated on double-digit growth
in minimally invasive surgery and Intuitive's share in the market.
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Investopedia: Does A Tough Patch Really Matter To McDonald's Shareholders?
Excellent earnings consistency and a long history of dividend payments
will buy a lot of patience and support from investors. Consequently, I
find it hard to imagine that even this disappointing patch of weak same-store sales will really dent McDonald's (NYSE:MCD)
all that much. Though I'm not very fond of the multiples being paid for
consumer stocks these days and won't be looking to add McDonald's to my
own portfolio, I don't expect a mass exodus from these shares unless
the market as a whole takes a tumble.
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Labels:
Burger King,
Investopedia,
McDonald's,
Sonic,
Yum Brands
Investopedia: IBM Makes It Official - Tech Has Some Troubles
Although I doubt there were many investors still holding serious hope
that the first quarter of 2013 was going to end up being a good one for
tech companies, IBM (NYSE:IBM)
likely snuffed out those hopes with an uncommonly weak quarter. With
Big Blue missing for the first time in eight years, and missing across
the board, it's pretty clear that business conditions have slowed
markedly. Management remains optimistic that business will recover with a
strong second half, but even with the big post-earnings decline these
shares are not exactly cheap.
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Labels:
Dell,
EMC,
Hewlett-Packard,
IBM,
Investopedia,
Oracle,
Red Hat,
Tibco
Investopedia: Weak PC Growth And Slow Mobile Penetration Weighing On Microsoft
It really is too bad that the conversation on Microsoft (Nasdaq:MSFT)
always seems to be dominated by what the company isn't. Bearish
analysts and investors hammer the company for its heavy reliance on PCs
and fault the company for letting Apple (Nasdaq:AAPL) and Google (Nasdaq:GOOG)
build such a large lead in mobile operating systems, while also
complaining about the company's relatively weak online business and
below-average entertainment profitability.
Those are legitimate criticisms, but only to a point. It is not as though smartphones and tablets have replaced PCs in the office environment, nor are they likely to anytime soon. What's more, Microsoft has a bigger (and faster-growing) presence in enterprise software than is usually appreciated. Last- and by no means least, Microsoft remains an exceptionally profitable company that generates exceptionally large amounts of cash every year.
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Those are legitimate criticisms, but only to a point. It is not as though smartphones and tablets have replaced PCs in the office environment, nor are they likely to anytime soon. What's more, Microsoft has a bigger (and faster-growing) presence in enterprise software than is usually appreciated. Last- and by no means least, Microsoft remains an exceptionally profitable company that generates exceptionally large amounts of cash every year.
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Investopedia: Thermo Steps Up And Seals A Deal For Life Technologies
After months of speculation, Thermo Fisher (NYSE:TMO) has brought its rumored pursuit of diversified lab equipment and supply manufacturer Life Technologies (Nasdaq:LIFE)
to a successful close. The two companies announced on Monday that they
had reached an agreement whereby Thermo would acquire the company in an all-cash deal.
While Life Tech's share price after the deal seems to show a little
larger-than-normal discount, the bigger question may be whether Thermo
anticipates another deal down the line.
Read the full article here:
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Thursday, April 18, 2013
Investopedia: Mediocre Performance Clouding BB&T's Long-Term Value
The management of BB&T (NYSE:BBT)
once enjoyed a pretty sterling reputation for their performance, but a
variety of missteps seem to be accumulating. Couple that with “industry
standard” mediocre performance, and I can understand why BB&T shares
have gone almost nowhere over the past year and are, in fact, one of
the worst performers of the peer group. For investors willing to play
the long game, though, I do believe that meaningful value remains in
these shares at today's price.
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BB T,
Fifth Third,
PNC Financial,
U.S. Bancorp,
Wells Fargo
Investopedia: Nokia Still Straddling Fault Lines
Roughly 18 months into his tenure as the CEO of Nokia (NYSE:NOK),
Stephen Elop hasn't yet proven much of anything about the future of
this former mobile device leader. The company has done a
better-than-expected job of cutting costs and its Nokia Siemens Networks
joint venture
is looking a lot better, but the company continues to lose mobile
device share at an alarming rate. While the company's ongoing existence
as a going concern is arguably not an issue, there's a great deal more
to do before the company can be considered a real turnaround stock.
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Investopedia: Broad Weakness Makes It Harder To Like St. Jude Today
I've been relatively optimistic about St. Jude Medical's (NYSE:STJ)
long-term prospects as the company navigates its current multi-year
lull in growth. The company has a legitimate presence in important
markets like cardiac rhythm management, atrial fibrillation,
neurostimulation, and heart valve replacement, plus a pipeline that
could reignite growth. With all of that said, it's still getting harder
to ignore the realities of just how growth-challenged the company is in
the here and now. Although I do believe the long-term expectations for
St. Jude are increasingly beatable, this could be a frustrating stock to
own for a little while yet.
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Investopedia: Dover May Be Bottoming, But The Street's Already Thinking Recovery
Dover (NYSE:DOV) is one of those industrial conglomerates
that is so diversified, it's not hard to feel a little sympathy for the
analysts that cover the stock. From energy to smartphones to commercial
refrigerators and gas pumps, covers the gamut of end-market exposures.
To that end, it doesn't say anything especially great about the economy that first quarter results were pretty weak, though the book-to-bill and management's optimism about a second-half recovery are encouraging. When it comes to the stock, however, it's a little hard for me to believe that the Street hasn't already skipped ahead a few pages and priced this stock for a recovery.
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To that end, it doesn't say anything especially great about the economy that first quarter results were pretty weak, though the book-to-bill and management's optimism about a second-half recovery are encouraging. When it comes to the stock, however, it's a little hard for me to believe that the Street hasn't already skipped ahead a few pages and priced this stock for a recovery.
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Investopedia: Intel - A Bond's Downside And A Stock's Upside?
Intel (Nasdaq:INTC)
still has a long road ahead of it to regain the love of tech investors
who believe that the core PC market is in permanent decline and that
rivals like Qualcomm (Nasdaq:QCOM) and ARM Holdings (Nasdaq:ARMH) are still too far ahead in the expanding mobile market.
The concerns about Intel – revenue growth potential, cost structure, capital spending needs – are valid, but should also be viewed in context. Even though Intel is currently converting revenue to free cash flow (FCF) at a historically poor rate, it's generating more than enough to pay its dividend and fund ongoing buybacks. I wonder, then, if investors should approach Intel from the viewpoint that the downside scenario sees Intel grinding along with a bond-like total return, but with the potential upside of a more equity-like return if the company's efforts in mobile and foundry pay off.
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The concerns about Intel – revenue growth potential, cost structure, capital spending needs – are valid, but should also be viewed in context. Even though Intel is currently converting revenue to free cash flow (FCF) at a historically poor rate, it's generating more than enough to pay its dividend and fund ongoing buybacks. I wonder, then, if investors should approach Intel from the viewpoint that the downside scenario sees Intel grinding along with a bond-like total return, but with the potential upside of a more equity-like return if the company's efforts in mobile and foundry pay off.
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Labels:
ARM Holdings,
Broadcom,
Intel,
Investopedia,
Qualcomm
Investopedia: Investors Seem To Be Overrating Bank Of America
Few large bank stocks have come close to the market performance of Bank of America (NYSE:BAC)
over the past year. While some of that appreciation may have been due
to investors accepting that BoA is still a going concern in banking, the
reality is that the bank still has a lot of work left to do, and the
current banking environment is not exactly hospitable. With legal risks
still pretty high and near-term growth opportunities looking more
modest, Bank of America seems pretty fairly valued today.
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Bank of America,
Citigroup,
Comerica,
Investopedia,
U.S Bancorp,
Wells Fargo
Investopedia: CSX Adapating To New Realities
It wasn't long ago at all that the rails seemed to have things pretty
much all going their way. Better management was producing better
margins, pricing advantages over trucking were leading to good
intermodal growth, and a recovering economy was supporting higher
traffic and strong pricing. Then came a structural shift in electricity
generation and a serious drought that hammered both coal and
agricultural volumes.
To its credit, eastern rail operator CSX (NYSE:CSX) is rolling with the punches. The company is largely through the worst of the volume reset caused by declining coal demand, and while management has stretched out its margin improvement targets, there's still a pretty good case to be made for solid operating performance over the next few years. Unfortunately, the market has been quick to anticipate this and the shares don't look like a tremendous bargain today.
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To its credit, eastern rail operator CSX (NYSE:CSX) is rolling with the punches. The company is largely through the worst of the volume reset caused by declining coal demand, and while management has stretched out its margin improvement targets, there's still a pretty good case to be made for solid operating performance over the next few years. Unfortunately, the market has been quick to anticipate this and the shares don't look like a tremendous bargain today.
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Investopedia: Pharma Is Doing All The Pulling For Johnson & Johnson
While other healthcare companies including Covidien (NYSE:COV) and Abbott (NYSE:ABT) have seen fit to split their drug and device businesses, it's perhaps lucky for Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ)
shareholders that their company has not gone the same route. While it
wasn't really so long ago that JNJ's drug business was struggling, now
it's the consumer and device business that need the pick-me-up. Even
with the strength of the drug business and the wider healthcare sector,
though, it's hard to see a lot of surplus value in the shares at these
prices.
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Labels:
Abbott Labs,
Covidien,
Intuitive Surgical,
Investopedia,
Johnson Johnson,
Medtronic,
Roche,
St. Jude,
Stryker,
Zimmer
Tuesday, April 16, 2013
Investopedia: DISH Network Makes Another Bid For Mobile
It's hard not to give some credit to DISH Network’s (Nasdaq:DISH)
leadership for realizing that they've taken the satellite TV concept
about as far as they can. Instead, the company has been acknowledging
(for some time now) that the company needed a pretty significant
strategic transformation- one that would allow the company to leverage
its wireless spectrum and compete more directly in the growing mobile
broadband market.
To that end, Monday's bid for Sprint Nextel (NYSE:S) is bold, but not entirely surprising. In fact, I suggested a few months ago that DISH's bid for Clearwire (Nasdaq:CLWR) could be as much about forcing Sprint to the table as any particular desire to own Clearwire. Now the question is whether or not Sprint's board welcomes the overture, and whether Sprint's other bidder, Japan's Softbank, decides to up the ante.
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To that end, Monday's bid for Sprint Nextel (NYSE:S) is bold, but not entirely surprising. In fact, I suggested a few months ago that DISH's bid for Clearwire (Nasdaq:CLWR) could be as much about forcing Sprint to the table as any particular desire to own Clearwire. Now the question is whether or not Sprint's board welcomes the overture, and whether Sprint's other bidder, Japan's Softbank, decides to up the ante.
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Labels:
AT T,
Clearwire,
Directv,
Dish Network,
Investopedia,
SoftBank,
Sprint,
Verizon
Investopedia: On Track With Volumes And Margins, Coca-Cola Refreshes
As a value-oriented investor, once you relax and accept the fact that stocks like Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO)
are almost never going to look cheap, evaluating them becomes quite a
bit easier. With stocks like Coca-Cola, the reality is that investors
view them as something almost like a hybrid of stock and bond, and so the valuation nearly always seems a bit stretched compared to other equities.
But as this quarter shows, Coca-Cola still has the ability to surprise to the upside. Decent volume growth helped to offset some price pressure and the company's progress on margin should reassure investors that management's long-term growth goals are attainable. So while these shares continue to look expensive by conventional valuation methodologies, and there does seem to be a general state of overvaluation in consumer-oriented stocks, the fundamental case for Coca-Cola remains pretty positive.
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But as this quarter shows, Coca-Cola still has the ability to surprise to the upside. Decent volume growth helped to offset some price pressure and the company's progress on margin should reassure investors that management's long-term growth goals are attainable. So while these shares continue to look expensive by conventional valuation methodologies, and there does seem to be a general state of overvaluation in consumer-oriented stocks, the fundamental case for Coca-Cola remains pretty positive.
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Labels:
Coca-Cola,
Investopedia,
Monster Beverage,
Pepsico
Investopedia: U.S. Bancorp Is Strong But Needs Growth
This earning season
is starting to feel like a broken record, or at least for the
high-quality banks. Economic uncertainty has led many would-be borrowers
to delay taking out loans, low interest rates make it tough to make
money on the spread, and new regulations have hurt fee income and
increased costs.
Add U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) to that list of banks where the Street seems to be saying “yeah, we know you're good, but we want growth.” While this large super-regional bank looks like a very solid long-term banking holding, this stock may not really get going unless or until the economy picks up and/or investors shift funds from overheated sectors towards the financials.
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Add U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) to that list of banks where the Street seems to be saying “yeah, we know you're good, but we want growth.” While this large super-regional bank looks like a very solid long-term banking holding, this stock may not really get going unless or until the economy picks up and/or investors shift funds from overheated sectors towards the financials.
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Labels:
Comerica,
Commerce Bancshares,
Investopedia,
JPMorgan,
U.S. Bancorp,
Visa,
Wells Fargo
Investopedia: Comerica Looks Like A Slow-Coiling Spring
With interest rates so low, loan demand pretty sluggish, and regulations
chewing into once-lucrative sources of income, most banks are stuck in a
holding pattern. That's particularly true for those banks with
relatively clean credit stories that don't have the tailwind of
improving provision and loan loss reserve releases to pump up results.
That puts investors in a tough place with Comerica (NYSE:CMA). Certainly there isn't much near-term growth potential to get excited about here. Yet, the company remains very highly leveraged to an eventual rise in interest rates. At the same time, the company's underlying quality and footprint make it an appealing M&A candidate should the board decide it's time to look to sell. In the meantime, though, it's hard to get excited about these shares at the present valuation.
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That puts investors in a tough place with Comerica (NYSE:CMA). Certainly there isn't much near-term growth potential to get excited about here. Yet, the company remains very highly leveraged to an eventual rise in interest rates. At the same time, the company's underlying quality and footprint make it an appealing M&A candidate should the board decide it's time to look to sell. In the meantime, though, it's hard to get excited about these shares at the present valuation.
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Monday, April 15, 2013
Investopedia: Citigroup Looking More Like A Normal Big Bank These Days
With its first full quarter with new CEO Michael Corbat in charge now in the books, Citigroup (NYSE:C)
continues to make progress towards operating more like the large
money-center bank that it is. While there are some very valid questions
about the company's long-term strategy (including managing its far-flung
global empire and rebuilding share in U.S. banking), it seems like the
bank can increasingly focus on more common banking issues like dealing
with a very adverse yield curve and pretty sluggish loan growth.
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Labels:
Bank of America,
Citigroup,
Investopedia,
JPMorgan,
Wells Fargo
Investopedia: Infosys Struggling To Make The Changes
Change seldom comes easy, particularly when the underlying market
conditions are challenging. With multiple reports and warnings pointing
to a tough environment overall in tech and companies like Accenture (NYSE:ACN) seeing more challenging conditions in outsourced IT, Infosys (Nasdaq:INFY)
has some headwinds. At the same time, the company's fiscal fourth
quarter results suggest some self-inflicted wounds. While the shares
look undervalued on a long-term basis, it may be a rocky ride if
near-term results don't get meaningful better soon.
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Labels:
Accenture,
Cognizant Technology Solutions,
IBM,
Infosys,
Investopedia,
Wipro
Saturday, April 13, 2013
Investopedia: Commerce Bancshares Growing Its Balance Sheet, But Profits Are Harder To Come By
When a bank has significantly below-average funding costs and non-performing assets, and didn't have to take a dime of TARP money, it's a pretty good sign that management is doing something right. And to be sure, conservatively-run Commerce Bancshares (Nasdaq:CBSH)
is a high-quality Midwestern bank with top-four deposit share in both
Kansas and Missouri. That quality is not lost on the Street, and today's
valuation doesn't leave a lot of value on the shelf for new investors.
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Investopedia: Fortinet Stumbles, Making Tech Investors Very Insecure
Although you wouldn't necessarily always know it by the growth rates at leading enterprise security vendors like Check Point (Nasdaq:CHKP) and Cisco (Nasdaq:CSCO), security has been one of the better markets in enterprise IT. So the real question in the wake of Fortinet's (Nasdaq:FTNT)
warning on first quarter results is whether this is company-specific,
market-specific, or a more widespread problem within the security
sector.
Please continue reading here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/041113/fortinet-stumbles-making-tech-investors-very-insecure-ftnt-chkp-csco-panw.aspx
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Labels:
Check Point Software,
Cisco,
F5,
Fortinet,
Investopedia,
Juniper,
Palo Alto Networks,
Sourcefire
Investopedia: Titan Machinery's Margin Problem
Although I have mentioned it before in previous articles on Titan Machinery (Nasdaq:TITN),
it bears repeating – Titan Machinery is pursuing a risky, debt-fueled
roll-up model that puts a premium on driving solid long-term operating
leverage. This makes the company's fourth quarter miss all the more
concerning. While I'm the last person to advocate freaking out (or
abandoning a position) over one bad quarter, the long-term impact to
fair value of even a half-point adjustment to margin estimates can be
significant.
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CNH Global,
Deere,
Investopedia,
Titan Machinery,
United Rental
Investopedia: J.B. Hunt's Bigger Challenge Today Is Expectations, Not Operations
The markets remind us over and over
again that quality stocks often appreciate well beyond fair value,
particularly when they become popular picks in attractive sectors. That
would seem to be the case at J.B. Hunt (Nasdaq:JBHT),
as it is quite difficult to call the stock's price a bargain by
conventional means. While the Street's love for J.B. Hunt has been great
for shareholders, it does come with a price, as expectations seem to be
quite high for this well-run transportation company.
Please continue reading here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/041213/jb-hunts-bigger-challenge-today-expectations-not-operations-jbht-chrw-lstr-xpo.aspx
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Investopedia: Credit Comes To The Rescue, As JPMorgan Sees Soft Core Banking Results
Maybe today's banking environment isn't quite “famine” on the feast-or-famine scale, but with results in hand from Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) and JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM)
it's pretty clear that this a very slow patch in core banking. While I
expect that some (if not many) investors will be more attracted to
stronger growth/recovery stories at once-troubled banks, I believe
JPMorgan continues to offer very good value for money in the banking
sector. Even if the company's sterling reputation has acquired some
patina, the valuation suggests that the company doesn't get its due for
its market share, credit quality, and profitability.
Read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/041213/credit-comes-rescue-jpmorgan-sees-soft-core-banking-results-jpm-wfc-usb-cbsh.aspx
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Labels:
Commerce Bancshares,
Investopedia,
JPMorgan,
U.S. Bancorp,
Wells Fargo
Investopedia: Bank Of The Ozarks Continues To Build Value
I've long praised Little Rock-based Bank of the Ozarks (Nasdaq:OZRK) as one of the best-run banks that most investors probably don't know about. This bank has long used a mix of opportunistic M&A
and focused lending expertise to grow what has become an increasing
valuable Southern/Southeastern banking franchise. While today's price is
not exactly a bargain, there are worse fates in investing than to hold
somewhat expensive positions in very promising companies.
Please read the full article at Investopedia:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/041213/bank-ozarks-continues-build-value-ozrk-bxs-rf-pb.aspx
Please read the full article at Investopedia:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/041213/bank-ozarks-continues-build-value-ozrk-bxs-rf-pb.aspx
Investopedia: Core Growth At Wells Fargo Is Weak, But The Multiple Doesn't Look Demanding
During bull markets, investors typically prize growth more than anything
and that would seem to explain a lot of the relative valuations I'm
seeing in the banking sector these days. To wit, investors don't seem
nearly as concerned about quality or long-term business prospects as the
they do about the near-term growth and capital returns potential. That
may be frustrating for Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) shareholders in the short term, but I think it does leave some long-term potential in the shares today.
Please follow this link for the full article:
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Labels:
Bank of America,
Capital One,
Intuit,
Investopedia,
JPMorgan,
T Rowe Price,
U.S. Bancorp,
Wells Fargo
Thursday, April 11, 2013
Investopedia: Progressive Improving Quality At The Expense Of Growth
Every insurance company has to maintain a delicate balance between
earning on capital as much as possible, and not take excessive risks in
the pursuit of those earnings. As a high-quality, well-run insurance
company, Progressive (NYSE:PGR)
has a long history of making good decisions. Those decisions are
starting to compromise growth, however, and it's becoming more difficult
to make a value case for Progressive in the insurance sector.
Please read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/041113/progressive-improving-quality-expense-growth-pgr-all.aspx
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Labels:
Allstate,
Berkshire Hathaway,
Investopedia,
Progressive,
State Farm
Investopedia: Pricey Constellation Brands Has A Lot To Live Up To
Complaining about the high valuation of beverage stocks like Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), Diageo (NYSE:DEO), and Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE:BUD) is largely a futile exercise. Investors prize the strong cash flows and returns on capital
that these businesses can achieve, and many analysts and investors are
completely sold on the idea that ongoing income growth in the emerging
market will lead to both higher sales and higher scale-driven margins
down the line.
I can accept all of that to a certain point, and I certainly can't complain if the market wants to award a rich valuation to the shares of SABMiller (OTCBB:SBMRY) that I own. In the case of Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), I can see multiple avenues for better long-term performance, particularly if the U.S. Department of Justice ultimately gives the “all clear” to the restructured Grupo Modelo transaction. That said, investors should ignore the strong performance expectations that are already built into the valuation and the risk that the shares could underperform the market as a result.
Please click here to continue:
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I can accept all of that to a certain point, and I certainly can't complain if the market wants to award a rich valuation to the shares of SABMiller (OTCBB:SBMRY) that I own. In the case of Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), I can see multiple avenues for better long-term performance, particularly if the U.S. Department of Justice ultimately gives the “all clear” to the restructured Grupo Modelo transaction. That said, investors should ignore the strong performance expectations that are already built into the valuation and the risk that the shares could underperform the market as a result.
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Investopedia: Weak Metalworking Rusting MSC Industrial's Growth Outlook
These are not great times for the industrial sector. Worries about the fiscal cliff transitioned into fears of sequestration,
and a variety of metrics are showing decreasing industrial activity.
That is spilling into the results of industrial component suppliers like
Fastenal (Nasdaq:FAST) and MSC Industrial (NYSE:MSM). While MSC Industrial's near-flat revenue growth this quarter and flat guidance
are certainly unsettling , I think the long-term growth story here is
still an attractive one and I'm happy to hold onto my shares.
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Labels:
Amazon,
Barnes,
Fastenal,
Grainger,
Investopedia,
MSC Industrial
Investopedia: For Alcoa, It Can Still Get Worse Before It Gets Better
Alcoa (NYSE: AA)
management must feel like they're running on a treadmill or swimming in
a flume. No matter the progress that the company makes with
productivity or improved downstream operations, it feels as though
ongoing global supply growth strips away the advantageous. So, although
Alcoa continues to look underpriced, the brutal competition in this
market makes it a hard stock to recommend to investors
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Labels:
Alcoa,
BHP Billiton,
Century Aluminum,
Investopedia,
Koppers,
Rio Tinto
Investopedia: GE Pays Up To Get Into Another Attractive Energy Business
General Electric (NYSE:GE)
is not messing around when it comes to making itself into a leading
manufacturer of equipment for the oil and gas industry. Having already
established a strong presence for itself in areas like subsea and
surface equipment, GE is taking a deeper dive into artificial lifts with
its high-priced acquisition of Lufkin Industries (Nasdaq:LUFK).
Continue here for the full article:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/040913/ge-pays-get-another-attractive-energy-business-ge-lufk-wft-dov.aspx
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Labels:
Baker Hughes,
Dover,
General Electric,
Investopedia,
Lufkin,
Schlumberger,
Weatherford
Investopedia: AngioDynamics Still Struggling To Get Back On Track
Throughout what has proven to be a difficult time for small-cap medical device company AngioDynamics (Nasdaq:ANGO),
I've been optimistic about the company's long-term potential. While
businesses in vascular access, dialysis, and fluid management are not
high-growth areas of medical technology, I thought the company's focus
on product development would lead to better revenue and margin leverage than the Street seemed to be expecting.
So far that has been a bad call. While products like NanoKnife, BioFlo, and AngioVac do still hold the potential to drive long-term growth rates in excess of the industry norms, sales execution and market shares need to improve. Likewise, investors should not underestimate the potential risk of rejuvenated large competitors like Covidien (NYSE:COV) and CR Bard (NYSE:BCR).
Please follow this link for more:
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So far that has been a bad call. While products like NanoKnife, BioFlo, and AngioVac do still hold the potential to drive long-term growth rates in excess of the industry norms, sales execution and market shares need to improve. Likewise, investors should not underestimate the potential risk of rejuvenated large competitors like Covidien (NYSE:COV) and CR Bard (NYSE:BCR).
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Labels:
AngioDynamics,
Covidien,
CR Bard,
Investopedia,
Merit Medical,
Vascular Solutions
Wednesday, April 10, 2013
Investopedia: ADTRAN Looks To Rebound From A Pretty Miserable 2012
It's almost cliché to talk about how bad of a year 2012 was for
communications equipment vendors dependent on American and European
carrier spending. With core broadband access product sales down 13% in
2012, ADTRAN (Nasdaq:ADTN) definitely found itself among the laggards, with shares down more than 30% over the past year and well below the S&P 500.
But 2013 is a new year, and hope springs eternal in the hearts of tech investors. While investors should not discount the competitive risks from rivals like Calix (NYSE:CALX) and Alcatel Lucent (NYSE:ALU), there is reason for at least cautious optimism that carrier infrastructure deployments will lead to better results for ADTRAN. At a minimum, it certainly doesn't seem like the Street has priced this stock for particularly breathtaking performance.
Please continue below:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/041013/adtran-looks-rebound-pretty-miserable-2012-adtn-calx-alu-t.aspx
But 2013 is a new year, and hope springs eternal in the hearts of tech investors. While investors should not discount the competitive risks from rivals like Calix (NYSE:CALX) and Alcatel Lucent (NYSE:ALU), there is reason for at least cautious optimism that carrier infrastructure deployments will lead to better results for ADTRAN. At a minimum, it certainly doesn't seem like the Street has priced this stock for particularly breathtaking performance.
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Labels:
Adtran,
Alcatel Lucent,
AT T,
Calix,
CenturyLink,
Ericsson,
Huawei,
Investopedia,
Verizon
Investopedia: Slowing Sales At Fastenal Not Denting Investor Enthusiasm ... Yet
It's an unfortunate reality of financial writing today that you can't
express concern about a stock's valuation and/or investor expectations
without reaping a whirlwind of angry readers claiming you hate the
company (while in secret many are shorting the stock). Be that as it
may, only a fool wouldn't appreciate the business that Fastenal (Nasdaq:FAST)
has built in the industrial distribution market, but that doesn't mean
that the shares are cheap – particularly with growth becoming more of a
concern than at any time before in this latest post-recession recovery.
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Labels:
Amazon,
Anixter,
Fastenal,
Grainger,
Investopedia,
Lawson,
MSC Industrial,
WESCO
Tuesday, April 9, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Alkermes Still Not Getting Full Credit For Its Pipeline
Biotech is a strange world, one where investors often seem to prefer
stories that are relatively weak on sales, earnings, and actual data.
Maybe that makes a certain amount of sense - in the absence of data,
investors are free to dream about blockbuster drugs and multi-baggers.
In the case of Alkermes (ALKS), it would seem that having an actual cash flow-generating business is almost a detriment to the stock. Given that I believe Alkermes combines a strong (and fairly stable) royalty-generating business with a high-risk/high-reward, but undervalued, pipeline, I believe this is a stock worth considering even at these relatively elevated prices for biotech stocks.
Please continue here:
Alkermes Still Not Getting Full Credit For Its Pipeline
In the case of Alkermes (ALKS), it would seem that having an actual cash flow-generating business is almost a detriment to the stock. Given that I believe Alkermes combines a strong (and fairly stable) royalty-generating business with a high-risk/high-reward, but undervalued, pipeline, I believe this is a stock worth considering even at these relatively elevated prices for biotech stocks.
Please continue here:
Alkermes Still Not Getting Full Credit For Its Pipeline
Friday, April 5, 2013
Investopedia: F5 Networks Takes Another Whirl In The Tech Spin Cycle
Between earnings from the likes of Oracle (Nasdaq:ORCL) and TIBCO (Nasdaq:TIBX) and yesterday's negative guidance from F5 (Nasdaq:FFIV),
I think it's safe to say that the tech spending market has cooled
noticeably. Given the hype and hope that had been built into so many
tech company valuations, that should probably have investors feeling at
least a little uncomfortable now. While I am still a believer in F5,
it's going to be tough to own tech stocks until there is a real sign of
renewed momentum in the sector – likely a second-half event.
Read the full piece here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/040513/f5-networks-takes-another-whirl-tech-spin-cycle-ffiv-rdwr-csco-orcl.aspx
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http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/040513/f5-networks-takes-another-whirl-tech-spin-cycle-ffiv-rdwr-csco-orcl.aspx
Investopedia: Schnitzer's Results Are Better, But The Challenges Are Still Significant
All parts of the steel cycle have been volatile lately, as investors fret over demand for steel from ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT) and Nucor (NYSE:NUE)
and the demand for inputs like met coal, iron ore, and scrap steel.
While improving economic conditions and a possible revival in North
American commercial construction may seem to augur well for Schnitzer Steel (Nasdaq:SCHN), investors shouldn't ignore the significant long-term challenges of this leading scrap processor.
Read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/040413/schnitzers-results-are-better-challenges-are-still-significant-schn-sms-stld-nue-cmc.aspx
Read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/040413/schnitzers-results-are-better-challenges-are-still-significant-schn-sms-stld-nue-cmc.aspx
Labels:
Commercial Metals,
Investopedia,
Nucor,
Schnitzer Steel,
Sims,
Steel Dynamics,
TMS
Investopedia: RPM's Performance Isn't Perfect, But Continues To Generate Cash Flow
Specialty chemicals is a tough sector, and just about anything tied to
construction (particularly commercial construction) is even worse. And
yet, while RPM International (NYSE:RPM)
has seen plenty of ups and downs over the years, the company's
growth-by-acquisition strategy has continued to generate solid cash flow
and decent returns on capital. While I still don't see these shares as a
bargain today, an ongoing revival in the residential market does seem
to be tiding the company over until commercial construction improves.
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Labels:
Investopedia,
PPG,
RPM International,
Sherwin-Williams,
Valspar
Thursday, April 4, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Will A Different Model Lead To Sustainably Different Results For SolarWinds?
Over the last decade or so, a host of software companies have tried
to build successful businesses with models different than those used by
industry giants including IBM (IBM), Oracle (ORCL), and Microsoft (MSFT). While Salesforce.com (CRM) and NetSuite (N) have gone the software-as-a-service (SaaS, or Cloud) route, others like Red Hat (RHT) have looked to maintenance and support instead of the software itself as the source of value.
That brings us to SolarWinds (SWI). There's nothing unusual per se about network management tools - companies like IBM and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) have been selling them for years. What's different about SolarWinds is both the sales model (a low-touch model that relies on 3rd parties like search engines) and the product positioning (lagging tech, but cheap and easy to use). So far, the results have been impressive as SolarWinds has posted exceptional revenue growth and operating margins. As is so often the case, though, the question is whether the company can maintain this momentum and whether the Street is already ahead of the story.
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Will A Different Model Lead To Sustainably Different Results For SolarWinds?
That brings us to SolarWinds (SWI). There's nothing unusual per se about network management tools - companies like IBM and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) have been selling them for years. What's different about SolarWinds is both the sales model (a low-touch model that relies on 3rd parties like search engines) and the product positioning (lagging tech, but cheap and easy to use). So far, the results have been impressive as SolarWinds has posted exceptional revenue growth and operating margins. As is so often the case, though, the question is whether the company can maintain this momentum and whether the Street is already ahead of the story.
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Will A Different Model Lead To Sustainably Different Results For SolarWinds?
Labels:
BMC,
CA,
Dell,
Hewlett-Packard,
IBM,
Infoblox,
NetScout,
Seeking Alpha,
SolarWinds,
WhatsUp Gold
Seeking Alpha: Most Of The Action At Medical Action Will Come From Margins
When most med-tech companies trade at an EV-to-sales multiple of 2x to 4x, Medical Action Industries' (MDCI)
0.4x multiple is a pretty clear signal that something is very different
about the company. In this case, we're talking about a small medical
disposables company that has not only been seriously growth-challenged,
but also had to absorb significant gross margin pressures. Although
patient value-oriented investors may want to consider Medical Action
Industries for its margin improvement potential, investors should keep
in mind that the market seldom give full credit to companies with weak
internal growth prospects.
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Most Of The Action At Medical Action Will Come From Margins
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Most Of The Action At Medical Action Will Come From Margins
Investopedia: A Thick Order Book Is Only Part Of The Story For Greenbrier
There are certain industries were achieving sustainable economic returns
and steady equity appreciation is nearly impossible, and rail car
manufacturing seems to be one of them. Among the major manufacturers, a
list that includes Greenbrier (NYSE:GBX), Trinity Industries (NYSE:TRN), American Railcar (Nasdaq:ARII) and FreightCar (Nasdaq:RAIL), two straight years of double-digit operating margins and/or return on invested capital is exceedingly rare.
With that in mind, investors would probably do well to approach Greenbrier with caution. While the company's move into tank car manufacturing should lead to higher revenue as crude oil producers turn to rails to move their product, the company has its work cut out to improve long-term margins and returns on capital. Although there could still be a trading opportunity in these shares, investors considering a long-term commitment should take a long look at the very poor historical industry returns.
Read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/040413/thick-order-book-only-part-story-greenbrier-gbx-arii-trn-rail.aspx
With that in mind, investors would probably do well to approach Greenbrier with caution. While the company's move into tank car manufacturing should lead to higher revenue as crude oil producers turn to rails to move their product, the company has its work cut out to improve long-term margins and returns on capital. Although there could still be a trading opportunity in these shares, investors considering a long-term commitment should take a long look at the very poor historical industry returns.
Read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/040413/thick-order-book-only-part-story-greenbrier-gbx-arii-trn-rail.aspx
Investopedia: Samsung Stores A No-Risk Opportunity For Best Buy
Give credit to Best Buy (NYSE:BBY)
– the company is not going down without a fight. While there are still
ample concerns about whether there's life in big-box electronics and
appliance retailing, Best Buy is trying to find ways to rejuvenate the
stores. Even in the absence of a buyout led by founder Richard Schulze, the stock has rallied back to a 52-week high on optimism about these moves.
The latest move is an interesting one for the company – the launch of a “store within a store” concept with Samsung, the other 800-lb gorilla of the smartphone and tablet market. Although these mini-stores are unlikely to significantly improve overall sales for Best Buy, they could be good for margins and could point to a new direction in big-box retailing.
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The latest move is an interesting one for the company – the launch of a “store within a store” concept with Samsung, the other 800-lb gorilla of the smartphone and tablet market. Although these mini-stores are unlikely to significantly improve overall sales for Best Buy, they could be good for margins and could point to a new direction in big-box retailing.
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Labels:
Apple,
Best Buy,
Blackberry,
Investopedia,
Nokia,
Samsung
Wednesday, April 3, 2013
Seeking Alpha: CareFusion On The Right Path
This recent melt-up in the market has left relatively few undervalued
opportunities in the med-tech sector. While there are still some
bargains to be had at the various market cap levels, it's not altogether
unfair to say that anything that looks notably cheap today is cheap for
a reason. With that in mind, it's not so surprising that CareFusion (CFN)
shares don't offer huge upside from today's level. That said, I like
the moves that management has made here and if the market (or med-tech
sector) were to sell off significantly, this would be a name well worth
considering.
Please continue here:
CareFusion On The Right Path
Please continue here:
CareFusion On The Right Path
Labels:
Baxter,
CareFusion,
Covidien,
Hospira,
ICU Medical,
Omnicell,
Seeking Alpha
Investopedia: Monsanto Looks A Bit Vulnerable At Current Levels
While Monsanto Company (NYSE:MON)
may be evil incarnate to some people, the fact of the matter is that
the company's products work quite well and the company has fixed its
marketing problems such that it has become one of the go-to names for
investors looking for exposure to agriculture. While Monsanto's fiscal
second quarter results were decent and it looks like this will be a
successful planting season, new investors may want to be careful about
making a big new investment at today's levels.
Please read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/040313/monsanto-looks-bit-vulnerable-current-levels-mon-dd-syt-lnn-agro.aspx
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Investopedia: ConAgra Now Getting Almost Full Benefit Of The Doubt
It's been an interesting few months for packaged food companies. Volume
trends have looked softer than expected as consumers continue to feel a
pinch, but input costs have also eased up. Most significant, though, was
the acquisition of Heinz (NYSE:HNZ) by Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A,BRK-B) and 3G and the near-immediate upward revaluation of the sector.
Against that backdrop, ConAgra (NYSE:CAG) continues to be a “yes, but...” company. As in, “yes, the RalCorp deal helps, but the company has to execute on the integration” or “yes, input costs are lower, but the company is having to spend on marketing/promotion to prop up weak volume”. While I liked ConAgra as an undervalued play in the sector back in December, I don't feel as strongly about it today given the significant move in the sector and this stock in particular.
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Against that backdrop, ConAgra (NYSE:CAG) continues to be a “yes, but...” company. As in, “yes, the RalCorp deal helps, but the company has to execute on the integration” or “yes, input costs are lower, but the company is having to spend on marketing/promotion to prop up weak volume”. While I liked ConAgra as an undervalued play in the sector back in December, I don't feel as strongly about it today given the significant move in the sector and this stock in particular.
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Labels:
Coca-Cola,
ConAgra,
General Mills,
Heinz,
Hormel,
Investopedia,
McCormick,
Smucker
Investopedia: Hope Seems To Outshine Reality At Acuity Brands
It has been almost two years since I last wrote on Acuity Brands (NYSE:AYI),
and in that time the company has seen only the barest recovery in
residential and commercial construction, the acquisition of a major
competition by a large conglomerate, and the advancement of LED lighting
as a more feasible alternative. It is this last item that is likely to
be the biggest driver for Acuity, as a switch to more efficient LED
lighting could stimulate significant sales. As often seems to be the
case with Acuity shares, though, it seems like investors are already
well ahead of curve on this name.
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Labels:
Acuity Brands,
Cree,
Eaton,
Hubbell,
Investopedia,
Philips,
Siemens
Investopedia: Global Payments Still Feeling An Uncomfortable Squeeze
Life still isn't easy in the narrow space between merchants and banks.
Regulators have taken a much sharper pen to the fees that many players
along the way can charge and earn, rivals continue to bludgeon each
other for market share, and new entrants like Square threaten to upset
the entire apple cart. That's led to less-than-spectacular performance
from merchant acquirer and processor Global Payments (NYSE:GPN),
as well as long-term concerns about the sustainability of what had
previously been a pretty high-margin/high-return business model.
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Labels:
Global Payments,
Heartland Payment,
Investopedia,
MasterCard,
U.S. Bancorp,
Vantiv,
Visa
Tuesday, April 2, 2013
Investopedia: Verizon, AT&T, And Vodafone - Here We Go Again
Large companies aren't really famous
for being good at sharing. With that in mind, the shared ownership of
Verizon Wireless between Verizon (NYSE:VZ) and Vodafone (Nasdaq:VOD)
has always seemed inherently unstable. While the companies once
contemplated an IPO for the business, the decision to maintain the
status quo has led to nearly annual speculations as to whether the two
companies will reach agreement on some sort of M&A transaction.
Whether it's due to real interest or just the fact that the market is in a dry patch for news prior to the next earnings cycle, these rumors have heated up once again. In an interesting twist, rumors are now including AT&T (NYSE:T) as a potential third party to facilitate a transaction that would essentially split up Vodafone between the two American carriers.
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Whether it's due to real interest or just the fact that the market is in a dry patch for news prior to the next earnings cycle, these rumors have heated up once again. In an interesting twist, rumors are now including AT&T (NYSE:T) as a potential third party to facilitate a transaction that would essentially split up Vodafone between the two American carriers.
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Labels:
America Movil,
AT T,
Investopedia,
KPN,
MTN Group,
Telekom Austria,
Verizon,
Vodafone
Investopedia: A Slimmed-Down Vestas Hopes For More Than Just Survival
Investors didn't want to hear (or think) about it back in 2006-2008, but
the renewable energy “revolution” has followed a pattern that is pretty
familiar to most experienced investors, and left a great deal of debris
in its wake. Wind turbine manufacturer Vestas (OTC:VWDRY)
has found itself one of the worst-hit companies to still be in
business, as the stock is down more than 90% from its 2008 highs.
Growing global capacity and shrinking government subsidies have hammered this company, as margins have plunged. The company has tried to respond - changing management, cutting costs, and streamlining operations – but the ultimate outcome is still very much in doubt. While Vestas seems undervalued if the company can in fact survive this winnowing process, survival is far from certain at this point.
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Growing global capacity and shrinking government subsidies have hammered this company, as margins have plunged. The company has tried to respond - changing management, cutting costs, and streamlining operations – but the ultimate outcome is still very much in doubt. While Vestas seems undervalued if the company can in fact survive this winnowing process, survival is far from certain at this point.
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Labels:
ABB,
General Electric,
Investopedia,
Siemens,
Vestas
Investopedia: McCormick Continues To Defy Gravity
When I last wrote on McCormick (NYSE:MKC)
in October of 2012, I liked almost everything about the company except
the valuation on the stock. However, as I've mentioned repeatedly in the
past, valuation is no impediment to further appreciation in the short
term and McCormick shares have climbed a further 15% from that point
(beating the market by more than 7% over that time).
Accordingly, the story on McCormick largely remains the same. While some investors will argue that the valuation of Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE:BRK.A) and 3G Capital's deal for Heinz (NYSE:HNZ) “proves” that packaged food stocks are undervalued, I don't share that sentiment. The strong volume growth at McCormick is certainly positive, and I like both the company's commanding U.S. share and growth prospects, but today's share price suggests future appreciation potential more suited to bonds than an equity.
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Accordingly, the story on McCormick largely remains the same. While some investors will argue that the valuation of Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE:BRK.A) and 3G Capital's deal for Heinz (NYSE:HNZ) “proves” that packaged food stocks are undervalued, I don't share that sentiment. The strong volume growth at McCormick is certainly positive, and I like both the company's commanding U.S. share and growth prospects, but today's share price suggests future appreciation potential more suited to bonds than an equity.
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Labels:
Berkshire Hathaway,
ConAgra,
Heinz,
Hershey,
Investopedia,
McCormick,
Mondelez,
Nestle,
Yum Brands
Investopedia: The Market May Be Overestimating Adecoagro's Risks
Brazilian agriculture and ethanol company Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO)
has not had a good run as a public company. Not only is the stock down
more than 30% from its January 2011 debut, the stock has noticeably
lagged its Brazilian small-cap peers. Some of this can be chalked up to
the unpredictable results of the company's farming operations, but
worries about currency and the Argentine government have certainly done
the company no favors. While this remains a risky investment prospect,
bold investors may want to consider this name given its large apparent
discount to fair value.
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Adecoagro,
BrasilAgro,
Cresud,
Deere,
DuPont,
Investopedia,
SLC Agricola
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