A lot of investors prize businesses with strong share in COGS/opex-oriented businesses with barriers to entry. Littelfuse (NASDAQ:LFUS)
certainly fits the bill, as circuit protection products like fuses and
suppressors and sensors tend to sell for low individual ASPs, but they
are ubiquitous and customers prize reliability (you don't want a TV or
CT scanner failing because of a $1 fuse). What's more, auto OEMs are
adding more and more sensors and fuses to new models and the migration
towards more electric power (including 48v architectures and
all-electrics) should offer more content growth opportunities for
Littelfuse.
I've made my peace with the fact that companies like Littelfuse and Sensata (NYSE:ST)
(which aren't apples-to-apples comps) aren't going to often look cheap,
but the strong performance of the shares (up about 35% over the past
year, and up about 70% over the past three years) and the high multiples
do at least lead me to pause. That said, the low double-digit long-term
FCF growth implied by the current valuation doesn't strike me as
ridiculous. I'd wait for a better entry point, but that could be a long
and frustrating wait and stronger than expected growth in the auto
business could support even higher multiples.
Read the full article here:
Littelfuse's Valuation May Seem Demanding, But The Business Is Appealing
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