Friday, February 8, 2019

Applied Industrial Technologies Starting To See The Slowdown

Wall Street hates uncertainty and there’s plenty of that when it comes to distributors in general and Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) in particular. With two-thirds of Applied Industrial Technologies’ verticals still growing and macroeconomic metrics like manufacturing capacity utilization, PMI, and industrial production still favorable but weakening, there’s plenty of uncertainty as to just how well the U.S. (and global) economy will perform in 2019.

AIT has done a lot to build up its business, and particularly its higher-margin fluid power business, and this a company with a strong ROIC record. I’m concerned about slowing momentum in 2019 and the possibility of further revisions to near-term guidance, but I do see a path for mid-single-digit revenue growth and double-digit FCF growth that can support a higher share price from here.

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Applied Industrial Technologies Starting To See The Slowdown

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