It has been a while since I've written on Turkcell (TKC),
and much of what I said last time still applies. Taken in isolation,
Turkcell continues to run itself well, with a business strategy focused
on its higher-value services like 4G, digital services, and e-commerce.
But at the same time, Turkey's macroeconomic challenges have not gone
away, and Turkcell continues to face significant inflation and foreign
currency headwinds and an overall lack of investor confidence/interest
in Turkey.
You can't really fully separate the
company-specific and macro factors here, as the U.S.-listed ADRs have
fallen more than 40% over the past 12 months versus a roughly 20% drop
in the locally-traded shares. What's more, I can't honestly tell
readers/investors that this a stock that is worth the hassle and risk,
particularly with the recent CEO change. Turkcell is undervalued even
under what I believe to be conservative assumptions, and the company is
well-placed to continue funding a healthy dividend, but with a lot
riding on the overall health of the Turkish economy and investor
confidence in the government, it's a tough recommendation to make.
Continue here:
Turkcell Sticking To A Plan That's Working, While Turkey Continues To Churn
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