Monday, September 27, 2010

Santander and M&T Bank - Here We Go Again (Again...)

The dealings between Spain's Santander (NYSE: STD) and U.S. bank M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB) are starting to remind me of the cheesy horror movies I loved as a kid. This deal just will not die ... it keeps coming back again and again, only to die at the end of the latest installment.

According to multiple media reports, Santander and M&T had once again been in discussions regarding some sort of merger. And once again, the deal fell apart over an inability to agree on who would run the company.

If these reports are to be believed, M&T's CEO Robert Williams actually had the chutzpah to insist that his team run the combined entity. Keep in mind, Santander is 10 TIMES the size of M&T. Although Santander was apparently willing to consider letting them run Sovereign Bank (that is Santander's U.S. operation and the likely "home" for M&T if a deal happens), that was not acceptable to MTB.

The fact that this keeps coming up shows that Santander is indeed keen to do this deal; helped no doubt by the reality that Allied Irish Banks (NYSE: AIB) is very much in trouble and needs to sell its large stake in M&T Bank. It seems equally clear, though, that M&T management does not want to let go of the reins and sell the company.

Who knows how much longer this is all going to go on? I have to imagine that M&T would dearly love for AIB to find another more-or-less silent partner that would take that 22.5% stake and just be content with that. Unfortunately, non-controlling stakes in foreign banks have burned many of the major European banks and there is likely a shortage of volunteers to try again.

Likewise, I am beginning to wonder if Santander needs to move on to a new target. M&T is a well-run bank, but you can only pine for the girl of your dreams for so long before you need to get on with life. If Santander could find a more willing partner in PNC (NYSE: PNC), BB&T (NYSE: BBT), or SunTrust (NYSE: STI), maybe they ought to explore that.

Ultimately, this deal does make financial sense for both sides. Unfortunately, there are issues of ego and non-financial factors that seem to be very difficult to surmount. Given the track record of M&T management, MTB shareholders should not be in any great hurry (the "down side" to no deal is that it is still an excellent independent bank). Likewise, Santander should not be so keen on M&T that they ignore other high-quality (and perhaps more willing) partners.

Disclosure - I own shares of BBT

Update - Other sources are indicating that the debate about post-merger control has to do only with Sovereign; whether M&T management would control the combined Sovereign + MTB bank or whether it would be the current team. That certainly makes a great deal more sense than my initial read (thinking that MTB wanted control of all of STD). 

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