Altera (NASDAQ:ALTR)
shares have gone nowhere fast. After a run that saw the shares double
from May of 2010 to May of 2011, the shares have spent most of the
following four years chopping around between $30 and $40. It hasn't
really gone all that much better for Altera's chief rival, Xilinx (NASDAQ:XLNX), either - the shares haven't shown the same choppiness, but the five-year returns are almost identical.
I liked the shares around $34 back in June of 2014
and they did reach $38 before disappointing guidance and growing
concerns about the health of the telecom/wireless business sent them
back below the $35 midline. While I do think the shares are undervalued
today, investors need to appreciate that the competitive dance with
Xilinx is unlikely to ever result in a clear winner and that new
entrants into the market could eventually chip away at market share and
margins. I still like Altera relative to a lot of the analog players,
but the stock likely needs the company to post strong margins in the
second half of 2015 and no further pushouts of the 14nm plans to break
out above the high $30's.
Read more here:
Is The Latest Stumble An Opportunity At Altera?
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