Given the importance of scale and exposure to emerging market growth
for global consumer businesses, it seems like a "when, not if" type of
question regarding SABMiller's (OTCPK:SBMRY)
future involvement in M&A. The key question, though, is whether
SABMiller continues to play the role of acquirer and consolidator, or
whether the company (likely grudgingly) finds itself scooped up.
Arguably
SABMiller doesn't need to concern itself overly much with M&A. The
company generates 70% of its profits from emerging markets, the highest
such percentage among the major brewers, and is weighed to the lowest
per-capita consumption markets (meaning that it can expect to benefit
from rising incomes/consumption). Not only that, SABMiller is one of the
largest Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) bottlers and stands to benefit from a new JV in Africa as well as further potential expansion.
With
M&A likely to factor heavily in the company's future, a stand-alone
valuation may be beside the point. That said, mid-single digit revenue
growth and further incremental FCF margin potential do support the stock
at this level, with M&A potentially adding revenue (if SABMiller
buys) or margin synergy (if SABMiller is a seller) to the valuation.
Please continue here:
M&A Could Add Even More Pop To SABMiller
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