I’ve followed Swiss construction chemicals specialist Sika (OTCPK:SXYAY) for some time, and there have been a few constants over that period – strong management execution, ongoing reinvestment into technologies that further environmental/sustainability goals, and a high valuation. Nothing has changed about the first two, but the shares have fallen about 25% from their peak and more than 10% since the price at my last update.
Sika is no “bargain” today in the classic sense, and I do have concerns about further derating, as well as some nearer-term concerns about disruptions to commercial construction growth. Beyond that, though, I see a long runway for growth as sustainable construction materials continue to gain share and Sika leverages opportunities in both developed and developing markets. A high single-digit organic revenue growth rate is not a conservative estimate, but I do see an opportunity here that I haven’t seen in some time from a valuation perspective.
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