Investopedia: Gerdau Seeing Brazil Get Better, But U.S. Ops Are Struggling

The wait for the turnaround in the steel industry has been a challenging one for shareholders. While some companies, including U.S. minimill operators Steel Dynamics (Nasdaq:STLD) and Nucor (NYSE:NUE) and foreign producers like Ternium (NYSE:TX) have seen their shares turn around, other steelmakers like ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT), U.S. Steel (NYSE:X), and Gerdau (NYSE:GGB) have had a rougher go of it.

Sentiment seems to be turning around for Brazil-based Gerdau. Steel companies there are having more success in pushing through higher prices and demand has been pretty solid from customers in autos, aviation, and other types of heavy industry. What's interesting, though, is that sell-side enthusiasm isn't really reflected in their estimates, and Gerdau doesn't look all that cheap on a near-term numbers basis. While improving conditions in Brazil and a pick-up in the U.S. could definitely lead to upward estimate revisions, the bull case does require investors to look out beyond just the next 12 to 18 months of EBITDA.

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