Around five months ago, I thought Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals (CYCC) looked like an interesting speculative biotech play,
as the market seemed to be hugely pessimistic on a drug (sapacitabine)
that had shown encouraging evidence of efficacy in a seriously
under-treated patient population. Since that report (and two by Seeking
Alpha contributor Scrying Biotech), the shares are up about 50% and I
would argue that these shares are still an interesting speculation for
the risk-seeking biotech investor.
To be very clear, I'm still not
unreservedly bullish on these shares. I think bears will remain fixated
on the risks represented by running a Phase III trial with an
unapproved drug as a control, not to mention the more typical risk that
the drug doesn't work. Likewise, there are risks of competitive products
from other oncology companies including Celgene (CELG) and Sunesis (SNSS).
But even with what I consider to be conservative assumptions, it would
seem that the shares are undervalued and worth a look for very
aggressive biotech investors.
Please continue here:
Cyclacel Still Steeped In Doubt
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