Continuing my run through Brazilian commodity companies that have had disappointing results this year, I come to Braskem (NYSE:BAK) - Brazil's large polyolefin and PVC producer. Like the steel companies Gerdau (NYSE:GGB) and CSN (NYSE:SID),
Braskem has underperformed in the face of weakening domestic demand and
fears that the Brazilian national election could bring in a government
less supportive of the structural barriers that allow them to charge
higher prices in Brazil.
I liked Braskem six months ago
and I still believe the shares are undervalued. Even amidst an
underwhelming domestic market, the general expectation is that Braskem
will still see year-on-year EBITDA growth in the high single-digits for
2014 and double-digit growth in 2015. What's more, I think Braskem is
looking at a window of opportunity (before major cracker project
start-ups in the U.S.) where its naptha-based production can still be
quite profitable. There's a not-so-fine line between being patient and
being wrong, though, and these shares could still disappoint further.
Continue here:
Braskem Hamstrung By Brazil's Industrial Malaise
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