I’ve been critical of several of W.W. Grainger’s (GWW)
strategic moves over the years, particularly its overseas business
decisions, but the decision to cut prices has proven so far to be a very
good move for this company. Against a very healthy backdrop for
manufacturing and construction, Grainger has managed to dramatically
outperform smaller rival MSC Industrial (MSM) on volume and outperform Fastenal (FAST) on pricing, allowing the company to outperform both on margin and earnings leverage.
Grainger
has done a great job of clawing back the mid-sized customers that it
lost in years past when its pricing got too high, but what happens when
it exhausts that supply remains an open question. There’s still room for
distributors to run as the industrial cycle ages, and Grainger’s
valuation isn’t unreasonable on an EV/EBITDA basis, but I do think it’s
harder to make the long-term valuation case with the shares up roughly
100% over the past year.
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Grainger's Pricing Reset Continues To Drive Exceptional Volume Growth
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