Sunday, June 2, 2019

Carpenter Technology Undervalued And Making Progress, But Where's The Spark?

I’ve had pretty mixed feelings about Carpenter Technology (CRS) for some time. In my last write-up on this specialty alloys company, I thought the shares looked undervalued, but I also thought the company really needed to show some improvement in execution before the Street would get behind it. While the shares did break out over $50 in the interim (up about 25% from the price of that last article), weak nickel prices and concerns about end-market demand have once again weighed on the shares and net-net, the shares are close to where they were at the time of that last article.

I like the progress that Carpenter has made with winning qualifications for its Athens facility, though it will take time for these qualifications to turn into revenue and profits. I also like the investments the company is making in areas like electrification-enabling alloys (including soft magnetics) and powered metals for additive manufacturing, but here again, it will take time for these efforts to really scale up. The good news? The company has a strong backlog but the shares are still undervalued on a historical median EBITDA multiple.

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Carpenter Technology Undervalued And Making Progress, But Where's The Spark?

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