Wednesday, April 22, 2015

Seeking Alpha: SLC Agricola Whammied Well Below Fair Value

In the summer of 2013, I wrote about three South American agriculture companies as Top Ideas. Two of the three, Cresud (NASDAQ:CRESY) and Adecoagro (NYSE:AGRO), have done quite well since then, despite ongoing problems in Argentina. The third, SLC Agricola (OTCPK:SLCJY), has been a skunk - declining about 25% on a triple whammy of bearish ag sentiment, bearish Brazilian land value sentiment, and the depreciation of the Brazilian real (the local currency shares are up 4% over the same time).

At the risk of doubling down on a bad call, I think this reaction is overdone, and that there is some meaningful opportunity here. Calling a bottom in corn, cotton, and soybeans is risky, at best, and I do think it is too much to hope that Brazil's farmland will continue to appreciate at strong double-digit rates. Even so, I think SLC Agricola is getting too little credit for being a very efficient operator with significant underlying land value and the potential to leverage ongoing improvements in Brazilian's transportation infrastructure.

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SLC Agricola Whammied Well Below Fair Value

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