There has definitely been a split between the "have's" and "have
not's" in the world of auto/truck parts and components. Companies like BorgWarner (NYSE:BWA), Dana (NYSE:DAN), and Cummins (NYSE:CMI) have been pretty unimpressive over the past year, while the likes of TRW (NYSE:TRW), Lear (NYSE:LEA), and American Axle (NYSE:AXL)
have done quite well. With slowing growth across the last four
quarterly reports, worries about a slowdown in North American and
European demand, and weakness in commercial vehicle markets, it's not
entirely surprising that Tenneco (NYSE:TEN) has found itself in the "have not" list of performers over the past year.
One
of the challenges for Tenneco has been what has seemed like a constant
"push to the right" with management's growth and margin improvement
expectations. While Tenneco has been growing, and growing faster than
underlying industry production rates, and posting better margins, the
progress hasn't come fast enough to suit many analysts and investors. I was lukewarm on the stock a year ago,
and I still am today. I like BorgWarner and Cummins better as long-term
growth stories, but it's worth noting that Tenneco does look
undervalued on what I think is a reasonably conservative DCF outlook (a
rarity for auto/truck components companies) and would do likely well if
off-road CV demand and/or forex headwinds were to come in better than
expected.
Read more here:
Slowing Growth Weighing On Tenneco
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