A year ago, I thought the shares of German insurance giant Allianz (OTCQX:AZSEY) (ALV.XE) were about 10% undervalued.
The local shares have risen about 13% since that piece, but the
stronger dollar has pushed that local return to a nearly 10% loss for
the ADRs, and AXA (OTCQX:AXAHY), Aviva (NYSE:AV), and MetLife (NYSE:MET) have all done better for U.S. investors.
Absent
a possible reversal in exchange rates, I'm not as bullish on Allianz at
this point. Persistent low interest rates have hurt the profitability
of the life insurance business and the P&C business may be
challenged by the question of how to surpass already excellent results. I
still like this company, and I've actually increased my fair value
estimate on a constant currency basis, but it's harder to make a call
that this is a must own until/unless rates turn up.
Click here for more:
Allianz Less Robust On Growth, But Loaded On Quality
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