What can I really complain about with Neenah Paper (NYSE:NP)? The shares didn't provide that pullback I was hoping for back in October and they're up about 12% from the time of that last article, beating other specialty paper companies like Glatfelter (NYSE:GLT), Schweitzer-Mauduit (NYSE:SWM), as well as Finland's Ahlstrom
once you adjust for the currency moves between the dollar and markka.
What's more, while the organic revenue growth hasn't been torrid, it's
been quite solid relative to the underlying markets and segment-level
profitability has been looking good.
If I'm going to complain (and
regular readers know I'm going to...), it's about the valuation. The
valuation does look a little stretched on an organic DCF basis, but not
unreasonable on an EV/EBITDA basis nor when factoring in the potential
benefits of further M&A. I'm not a big fan of "buy high and sell
higher" with companies where the revenue growth potential is modest, but
I don't think I'd be in any rush to sell these shares unless I knew I
had a better idea to pursue.
Follow this link for more:
All's Well With Neenah Paper, But It's Priced Like It
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