A year ago I wasn't sure what to make of Norwegian fertilizer giant Yara International (OTCPK:YARIY),
as I was bullish on the company's overall business model and long-term
prospects but thought that the shares adequately reflected a lot of the
upside. The local shares (YAR.OL) have climbed about 20% over the last
year, but the ADRs are down about 5% due the appreciation of the dollar
(Eurozone investors would be looking at a roughly 13% gain).
Assuming
that the currency rate settles down, the prospects for Yara's ADRs are
neutral-to-positive in my view. While increasing Chinese coal-based
exports are a concern, Yara's strategy of shifting more business toward
higher-value products should offset this. At the same time, while the
company saw some very unwelcome C-suite turbulence last year the company
has continued to identify attractive capital investment prospects that
should build more value in the years to come. I think $48.50 to $55 is a
good range in which to think about Yara's value, but that doesn't lead
to the most compelling investment argument today.
Continue reading here:
Yara International Continues To Execute Well In A Turbulent Market
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