Wednesday, January 24, 2018

A Spark At Accuray - Will It Catch Fire This Time?

The problem with small-cap radiation oncology company Accuray (ARAY) is not that it never has good quarters. The problem is that the company has never been able to put together a good run. With two pretty good quarters in the hopper, though, maybe the actions that management has taken over the past couple of years are starting to make a real difference in order flow and revenue conversion.

I'm still skeptical (and still a shareholder), but if management is playing it safe with guidance, there might be some actual momentum in the business now. I will explain my thinking later in this piece, but I'm now more comfortable with a valuation approach that suggests a fair value in the mid-$7s, making Accuray worth a look if you can take on the risk that this is yet another head fake in what has been a frustrating pattern of "two steps forward, 1.9 steps backward" for many years.

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A Spark At Accuray - Will It Catch Fire This Time?

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