Alnylam (ALNY)
had an active 2017, with its first new drug application (or NDA)
submitted to the FDA and multiple clinical read-outs, and 2018 is likely
to be no less busy. This new year should see the company get its first
FDA approval and begin its first commercial launch, in additional to
more incremental data on several programs, including data that could
potentially support an NDA filing for givosiran before year-end.
Moreover, management has not been shy about leveraging good news to
raise funds, leaving the company with close to $1.7 billion in cash to
start the year.
Alnylam remains a risky biotech.
While approval for its lead drug seems highly likely, the FDA could
still surprise the company and there are still relevant questions about
how the drug will fare in the real world. The company’s pipeline
likewise still contains ample risk, though Alnylam has actively worked
to identify biomarkers that can help point toward efficacy relatively
early in development. With upside close to $140, there are still valid
reasons to own Alnylam, but this is now a well-liked stock with a robust
market cap that is many years away from generating the sort of earnings
to support that optimism.
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Alnylam Intensifies Its Focus On Rare Disease
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