Although overshadowed by markets like Texas, there is
still money to be made providing banking services in the New York
City-Pennsylvania corridor. With a community bank approach that
emphasizes quick decisions and deep customer relationships, OceanFirst Financial (OCFC) looks well-placed to leverage fast-growing operating scale and attractive funding costs in some relatively attractive markets.
OceanFirst
looks about 10% to 20% undervalued on the basis of adjusted earnings
growth of around 9% to 12% over the next five years. Those estimates
don't include additional M&A beyond the announced Sun Bancorp deal,
but I would expect management to look for additional deals to bring it
closer to the $10 billion regulatory threshold. Although 2018 will be a
busy year with the integration of Sun, back-office expense reduction
efforts, and ongoing loan repositioning, a return to organic lending
growth toward the end of 2018 and more meaningful expense leverage in
2019 should start driving attractive organic earnings growth numbers.
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Growing Scale And An Attractive Franchise Should Drive Gains From OceanFirst Financial
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