Investors remain skeptical that Citigroup (C)
will hit the 2020 targets that management laid out this summer, and the
share performance has been lackluster - since the third quarter,
Citigroup's performance has trailed JPMorgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), and Wells Fargo (WFC)
by a pretty significant margin. While Citi isn't blowing the doors off
with its recent performance, and I continue to believe that the bank
will come up a little short of its 2020 targets, it's not like Citigroup
is doing a horrible job either.
I believe
Citigroup's business model will always be an impediment to its
performance, but I also believe that this is a business that can
generate returns above its cost of capital and that it is trading below
fair value today - a rare occurrence among larger banks. If Citi can
generate around 5% adjusted earnings growth from here, $80 looks like a
reasonable fair value, and the shares are worth a look for patient
investors who want exposure to large-cap banks without overpaying.
Read more here:
Building Credibility And Value Still A Work In Progress For Citigroup
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