With an FDA PDUFA date about one week away for its lead drug patisiran (which Alnylam (ALNY)
will market as “Onpattro”), the value in the company’s second quarter
earnings report was mostly in regard to its pipeline updates. Alynylam
has ample cash to continue moving its deep clinical pipeline toward
commercialization, and Alnylam could well be looking at meaningful new
drug approvals in 2018 (patisiran), 2019 (givosiran),
2020 (lumasiran, fitusiran, and inclisiran), and 2021 (ALN-TTRsc02),
with total peak-revenue potential in the multiple billions of dollars.
Alnylam
shares have been weak of late, and there is some modest risk going into
the PDUFA date – less so in terms of whether the drug will be approved,
but rather what the label will look like. There will also be a more
detailed presentation of data from Pfizer’s (PFE)
tafamadis later this month, a drug that has more recently re-emerged as
a potential competitive threat. All told, though, I believe Alynylam
shares remain substantially undervalued today.
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Alnylam About A Week Away From Its First Approval
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