Thursday, August 9, 2018

Lead Times Are A Risk, But ON Semiconductor Seems Undervalued

Can I really complain about the performance of ON Semiconductor (ON) over the past three months or on year-to-date basis when the shares are up 50% over the past year and have thumped not only the SOX, but peers like Texas Instruments (TXN), Infineon (OTCQX:IFNNY), and STMicrolectronics (STM)? Even so, these shares haven’t done so well lately, and I believe that’s largely due to concerns that rising lead times are signaling some weak orders and weaker revenue in the not-so-distant future.

Maybe this time will be different and the industry will navigate back to more normal lead times without major order/revenue disruptions. I don’t like to count on “maybe it will be different”, though, and the awful performance of Renesas (OTCPK:RNECY) highlights how unforgiving the market can be when companies go through an “adjustment phase”. ON Semiconductor shares do look undervalued and I do like the company’s long-term position in markets like auto and industrial and parts of communications and computing, but the risk of near-term turbulence is something to consider if you’re the type of investor who hates short-term pain in the pursuit of long-term gain.

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Lead Times Are A Risk, But ON Semiconductor Seems Undervalued

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