Although ams AG (OTCPK:AMSSY) (AMS.S) shares have done better than peers/rivals like Lumentum (LITE) and Himax (HIMX)
over the past year, the performance over the past three months has been
quite weak as investors have worried about a variety of risks including
slower adoption of 3D sensing by smartphone OEMs, lower near-term
margins, the possibility of main customer Apple (AAPL) turning to a second supplier in 3D sensing, and management’s apparent willingness to consider additional M&A.
To
some extent I’m not surprised that the shares have been this volatile
(“volatility” has been one of the main risks I’ve noted in past write-ups),
and revenue guidance has been healthy even if margin worries remain.
This is not going to be a stock for the low-risk crowd, but I continue
to believe mid-teens long-term revenue growth from growing 3D sensing
adoption in smartphones and in non-consumer markets can support a fair
value for the ADRs of around $50.
I would note that the U.S. ADRs are not especially liquid, and investors may wish to consider the Swiss listing.
Follow this link for more:
ams AG Suffering Through Growing Pains
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