The inland barge market hasn't fully recovered yet, but
it is definitely on its way back, and that has helped drive a good
performance from Kirby's (KEX)
shares. Between a recovering inland market, a bottoming coastal market,
and healthy demand for energy equipment, Kirby should be looking at
significantly improving EBITDA, earnings, and free cash flow over the
next few years.
I thought Kirby's valuation looked a little full at the time of my last update,
and the shares are down a bit since then, underperforming the Dow Jones
Transports by about 10%. I do expect Kirby to benefit from ongoing
strength in the economy in the short term as well as growing
petrochemical production capacity in its core operating area over the
medium term, and I do see mid-to-high single-digit annual return
potential here, but slowdowns in Permian activity could have a bigger
short-term impact on sentiment.
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Healthy Petrochemical Markets Helping Kirby Recover
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