PRA Group (PRAA)
has been a fairly weak performer on balance since the company last
updated investors on its earnings. While the shares did stay above $40
for most of June and July, they’re more or less back where they were a
quarter ago, trailing the S&P 500 but at least doing better than peer/rival Encore Capital (ECPG)
over that time. Given where the company’s report was relative to
analyst expectations, I’d say the expectations reset period is over,
putting more pressure on management to deliver execution-driven upside.
I
do believe management can do this, as the company still has a large
number of relatively new employees that should become considerably more
productive over the next few quarters. PRA Group is taking a more
conservative stance toward Europe, which is likely a good move over the
long term, and continuing to invest in business-building efforts with a
long-term payoff, including more compliance and government relations
work. I continue to believe that PRA shares can and should trade into
the low-to-mid $40’s.
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Execution Can Drive More Upside From PRA Group
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