Wells Fargo (WFC) has done a little better than I'd expected since my last update,
but that's solely on a relative basis, as these shares are still down
about 15% since then (versus a roughly 20% drop for banks in general).
Wells Fargo is still operating under several clouds; the regulatory and
remediation issues are well-known, but the core operating performance of
the bank is looking fairly run of the mill as well.
I
will not defend the various fraudulent activities that the bank
committed in recent years (activities the bank has acknowledged), but
whether or not the regulatory consequences have been appropriate is
really beyond the scope of the merits of Wells Fargo as an investment
idea. Retail and commercial clients are voting with their wallets and
choosing to stay with Wells Fargo (for the most part), and although I
believe there is a risk that the total bill for the settlements/fines,
restitution, and remediation could exceed what management has already
reserved for, I do not believe they threaten the bank as a going
concern. With a relatively low valuation, Wells Fargo seems to be
discounting a sharper decline in the economy than I think is likely, and
while there are banks I like better, I do believe these shares are
undervalued.
Wells Fargo Still Discounting A Host Of Challenges
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