Since it seems to be accepted practice now to accuse anyone who doesn't
think your stock is a screaming buy today with being "secretly short",
let me be very clear from the get-go - I like Endologix (ELGX)
quite a lot as a company, I think the company's technology is
innovative, and I see the company as both a share-gainer in endovascular
AAA treatment and one of the best growth stories today in med-tech. All
of that said, I don't see it as a bargain unless/until a larger
med-tech company decides that it must have it as its own.
Please continue here:
Endologix Shows How Growth-Hungry Med-Tech Investors Are
Sunday, March 31, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Endologix Shows How Growth-Hungry Med-Tech Investors Are
Labels:
Abbott,
Bard,
Cook Medical,
Covidien,
Endologix,
Gore,
Medtronic,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Strong Share And Management Discipline Bode Well For Koppers
Famed investor Peter Lynch liked to advocate for investing in
companies that do things that nobody really ever thinks about, or even
better, does things that are unpleasant in some fashion. Koppers (KOP)
arguably fits both of this criteria, as I don't think many investors
spend much time contemplating the markets for carbon pitch or creosote,
and distillation of coal tar (and its byproducts) are not what I'd call
particularly pleasant.
That's not what I find interesting about Koppers. More relevant to me are the company's strong market shares across multiple markets and a management team that seems keenly focused on economic value creation. Although Koppers stock is just off its 52-week high and about 10% off its all-time high, these shares could still offer some upside from today's level.
Continue reading here:
Strong Share And Management Discipline Bode Well For Koppers
That's not what I find interesting about Koppers. More relevant to me are the company's strong market shares across multiple markets and a management team that seems keenly focused on economic value creation. Although Koppers stock is just off its 52-week high and about 10% off its all-time high, these shares could still offer some upside from today's level.
Continue reading here:
Strong Share And Management Discipline Bode Well For Koppers
Labels:
Alcoa,
Ashland,
Cabot,
Koppers,
Seeking Alpha
Q1 2013 Performance Update
The first quarter was another strong one for my portfolio(s). A significant percentage of my holdings are at, or above, fair value and I'm starting to worry that U.S. markets (and many foreign markets) are getting overheated. While I'd rather hold overpriced shares of a good company than undervalued shares of inferior companies, I will likely be looking to shift some capital towards stocks with more compelling valuations.
Q!'13 Performance
Portfolio A - +15.2%
Portfolio B - +9.4%
Combined Portfolios - +13.2%
S&P 500 - +10.0%
Nasdaq - +8.2%
Russell 3000 - +10.5%
Please note that the market performance figures do not include dividends, which I would estimate would add about 0.5% to the S&P 500 performance number.
Q!'13 Performance
Portfolio A - +15.2%
Portfolio B - +9.4%
Combined Portfolios - +13.2%
S&P 500 - +10.0%
Nasdaq - +8.2%
Russell 3000 - +10.5%
Please note that the market performance figures do not include dividends, which I would estimate would add about 0.5% to the S&P 500 performance number.
Labels:
performance
Thursday, March 28, 2013
Investopedia: Lindsay Corp Still Reaping The Benefits Of The Drought
Last year's serious drought was certainly bad news for uninsured farmers, unhedged buyers of grain, and those who were on the other side of the hedging transactions. On the flip side, the resulting high grain prices have been good news for equipment makers like Deere (NYSE:DE) and Lindsay (NYSE:LNN).
The biggest questions for the world's second-largest maker of
irrigation equipment now are how much longer the good times will last
and whether investors have already let their expectations get ahead of
reality.
Strong Results In Fiscal Q2
Results at Lindsay and chief rival Valmont (NYSE:VMI) have historically tracked the price of corn, and that relationship has led to strong results in recent quarters for the company.
Please continue reading here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032813/lindsay-corp-still-reaping-benefits-drought-lnn-de-vmi-mon.aspx
Strong Results In Fiscal Q2
Results at Lindsay and chief rival Valmont (NYSE:VMI) have historically tracked the price of corn, and that relationship has led to strong results in recent quarters for the company.
Please continue reading here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032813/lindsay-corp-still-reaping-benefits-drought-lnn-de-vmi-mon.aspx
Labels:
Deere,
Investopedia,
Lindsay,
Monsanto,
Valmont
Investopedia: Red Hat's Valuation Looks More Reasonable, But Expectations Could Be Problematic
There's room for more than one successful model in the software world, and not every company has to be IBM (NYSE:IBM) or Oracle (Nasdaq:ORCL). To that end, cloud-based models like Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) and service/support-oriented models like Red Hat (NYSE:RHT) can work in terms of generating attractive revenue and free cash flow
growth rates. What's key, though, is understanding what's different
about these models and adjusting expectations accordingly, and that may
still be a significant source of risk to Red Hat investors.
Fiscal Q4 Numbers Came In Weaker Than Expected
Like Oracle and TIBCO (Nasdaq:TIBX) before it, Red Hat delivered a relatively disappointing quarterly result, though the magnitude of the disappoint was different. Even so, investors may do well to take a more cautious view of underlying growth here.
Read the full article here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032813/red-hats-valuation-looks-more-reasonable-expectations-could-be-problematic-rht-orcl-vmw-ibm-msft.aspx
Fiscal Q4 Numbers Came In Weaker Than Expected
Like Oracle and TIBCO (Nasdaq:TIBX) before it, Red Hat delivered a relatively disappointing quarterly result, though the magnitude of the disappoint was different. Even so, investors may do well to take a more cautious view of underlying growth here.
Read the full article here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032813/red-hats-valuation-looks-more-reasonable-expectations-could-be-problematic-rht-orcl-vmw-ibm-msft.aspx
Labels:
IBM,
Investopedia,
Microsoft,
Oracle,
Red Hat,
Salesforce.com,
Tibco,
VMWare
Seeking Alpha: For Sandy Spring Bancorp, It Looks Like Buy Or Be Bought
Banking regulators seem to be trying to achieve a delicate balance
between a banking system that is too consolidated among a small group of
giant institutions ("too big to fail") and a system that is too
fragmented to run efficiently and provide high levels of service. While I
believe that regulators will be loath to let the top 10 (or perhaps the
top 20) banks get much larger, I also believe they'd like to see even
more competition coming from the next tier. To that end, Sandy Spring
Bancorp (SASR) could have an interesting future in the Mid-Atlantic region as either a growth-by-M&A story or as a target itself.
Please click below to continue:
For Sandy Spring Bancorp, It Looks Like Buy Or Be Bought
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For Sandy Spring Bancorp, It Looks Like Buy Or Be Bought
Seeking Alpha: High Quality And Ample Dry Powder Make Prosperity Bancshares One To Watch
While Texas-based Prosperity Bancshares (PB)
has gone along with the year-to-date mid-cap bank stock rally, the
overall performance over the past year hasn't been all that special. A
lot of that has to do with the valuation; investors have generally been
happy to assign robust multiples to this bank due to its uncommon growth
and quality, but those same multiples seem to have left these shares a
relative also-ran in performance.
And so it is today - while Prosperity is a very well-run bank and has substantial long-term growth potential (not to mention ample dry powder on the balance sheet), the valuation today is not what I'd call "can't miss." With mid-cap banks in general looking a little pricey, Prosperity isn't a bad relative call today, but more nimble investors may want to focus their time and attention today on small-cap banks while waiting for a pullback in names like Prosperity.
Please continue reading here:
High Quality And Ample Dry Powder Make Prosperity Bancshares One To Watch
And so it is today - while Prosperity is a very well-run bank and has substantial long-term growth potential (not to mention ample dry powder on the balance sheet), the valuation today is not what I'd call "can't miss." With mid-cap banks in general looking a little pricey, Prosperity isn't a bad relative call today, but more nimble investors may want to focus their time and attention today on small-cap banks while waiting for a pullback in names like Prosperity.
Please continue reading here:
High Quality And Ample Dry Powder Make Prosperity Bancshares One To Watch
Wednesday, March 27, 2013
Investopedia: Sonic Still In A Tricky Spot
Try as it might, drive-in quick service restaurant (QSR) Sonic (Nasdaq:SONC)
just can't seem to get everything working at top form in its business
model. While the company has an innovative (some might say “quirky”)
menu that really does stand out from the offerings at McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), Burger King (NYSE:BKW), and Wendy's (NYSE:WEN),
and has looked to refine its promotional activity and value-priced
offerings, the company has made only modest progress in terms of growth.
As it stands today, analyst expectations on Sonic are pretty bifurcated. There's a small group that believe that Sonic will regain its growth momentum and do significantly better from here, while the larger group is more pessimistic and calls for Sonic to basically bump along as it has for some time now. While these shares have been strong over the past year and have recently broken out to a multi-year high, further gains could well be in store if the optimists are right.
Read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032713/sonic-still-tricky-spot-sonc-wen-jack-mcd-bkw-cmg-pnra.aspx
As it stands today, analyst expectations on Sonic are pretty bifurcated. There's a small group that believe that Sonic will regain its growth momentum and do significantly better from here, while the larger group is more pessimistic and calls for Sonic to basically bump along as it has for some time now. While these shares have been strong over the past year and have recently broken out to a multi-year high, further gains could well be in store if the optimists are right.
Read more here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032713/sonic-still-tricky-spot-sonc-wen-jack-mcd-bkw-cmg-pnra.aspx
Labels:
Burger King,
Chipotle Mexican Grill,
Investopedia,
Jack in the Box,
McDonald's,
Panera,
Sonic,
Subway,
Wendy's
Investopedia: Oracle Dials It Up In Telecom
Oracle (Nasdaq:ORCL) doesn't do things halfway, and when the company announced its acquisition of Acme Packet (Nasdaq:APKT)
it looked like only the beginning of the company's strategy to exploit
the large telecom vertical. Now we know that the company really is
serious, as it has followed the Acme Packet deal with an announcement
that it intends to acquire networking vendor Tekelec from its private
equity owners.
A Complimentary Deal With Interesting IP Ramifications
Right off the bat, acquiring Tekelec makes quite a bit of sense. Tekelec is a telecom equipment vendor that specializes in products that handle mobile traffic. In particular, the company focuses on areas like network signaling, policy control, and subscriber data management. Combined with Acme Packet's network control products/technology, Oracle will offer a cohesive hardware/software line-up in network control for large carrier customers like Verizon (NYSE:VZ) and AT&T (NYSE:T).
Please continue here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032713/oracle-dials-it-telecom-orcl-ffiv-apkt-eric-vz.aspx
A Complimentary Deal With Interesting IP Ramifications
Right off the bat, acquiring Tekelec makes quite a bit of sense. Tekelec is a telecom equipment vendor that specializes in products that handle mobile traffic. In particular, the company focuses on areas like network signaling, policy control, and subscriber data management. Combined with Acme Packet's network control products/technology, Oracle will offer a cohesive hardware/software line-up in network control for large carrier customers like Verizon (NYSE:VZ) and AT&T (NYSE:T).
Please continue here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032713/oracle-dials-it-telecom-orcl-ffiv-apkt-eric-vz.aspx
Labels:
Acme Packet,
AT T,
Ericsson,
F5,
Huawei,
Investopedia,
Nokia Siemens,
Oracle,
Tekelec,
Verizon
Tuesday, March 26, 2013
Seeking Alpha: ExactTarget Needs A Decade Of Exceptional Growth To Hit Its Targets
Everybody complains about marketing, but most of us still respond to it
anyway. With digital/interactive marketing picking up where print and
media have left off, ExactTarget (ET)
is looking to tap into what should be a multi-billion annual market for
cross-channel interactive marketing spending. Like almost every small
tech company, though, there are still ample doubts that ExactTarget can
hit the market - doubts about the real market size/opportunity, doubts
about the exclusivity of the company's approach, and doubts about
likelihood that the company will deliver the strong growth that will be
needed to keep the shares moving.
Please click here to continue:
ExactTarget Needs A Decade Of Exceptional Growth To Hit Its Targets
Please click here to continue:
ExactTarget Needs A Decade Of Exceptional Growth To Hit Its Targets
Labels:
Constant Contact,
ExactTarget,
Experian,
Oracle,
Responsys,
Seeking Alpha,
Teradata
Seeking Alpha: Going It Alone Could Be A Tough Road For Synovus Investors
If I'm brutally honest, following bank stocks on a week to week basis
is a challenging (and not particularly exciting) pursuit. While we all
got a vivid lesson in just how badly wrong these business models can go,
even on a quarter to quarter basis we're pretty much talking about
submarine races - there's a lot going on below the surface, but you'll
never see it.
That is relevant to Synovus (SNV) as these shares have enjoyed quite a run - up 35% over the past year, about 66% from the summer 2012 lows, and near a 52-week high on optimism about the prospects for improved performance, a TARP repayment, and a possible acquisition. That long-held expectation of a deal could actually be the biggest risk factor for these shares today. While the company could indeed hold value for an acquirer, it's much harder to find an attractive target price on its own operating credentials and a failure to see a bid materialize after the TARP repayment could set shareholders up for some depressing performance.
Continue reading here:
Going It Alone Could Be A Tough Road For Synovus Investors
That is relevant to Synovus (SNV) as these shares have enjoyed quite a run - up 35% over the past year, about 66% from the summer 2012 lows, and near a 52-week high on optimism about the prospects for improved performance, a TARP repayment, and a possible acquisition. That long-held expectation of a deal could actually be the biggest risk factor for these shares today. While the company could indeed hold value for an acquirer, it's much harder to find an attractive target price on its own operating credentials and a failure to see a bid materialize after the TARP repayment could set shareholders up for some depressing performance.
Continue reading here:
Going It Alone Could Be A Tough Road For Synovus Investors
Labels:
BB T,
Seeking Alpha,
Suntrust,
Synovus,
US Bancorp,
Wells Fargo
Saturday, March 23, 2013
Investopedia: Nike Continues To Just Do It
For Nike (NYSE:NKE)
to perform as it has despite economic challenges in Europe, China, and
the U.S. is a pretty strong testament both to the power of the brand,
but also the company's commitment to product development. With a strong
pipeline, signs of improvement in China, and the potential to recapture
some lost gross margin,
Nike could retest its 52-week high in the not-so-distant future. Nike
isn't a terribly cheap or underrated stock, but strong financial
performance could still translate into decent (or better) stock
performance.
Click below to continue:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032213/nike-continues-just-do-it-nke-ua-dks-lulu-addyy.aspx
Click below to continue:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032213/nike-continues-just-do-it-nke-ua-dks-lulu-addyy.aspx
Labels:
Adidas,
Dicks Sporting Goods,
Finish Line,
Foot Locker,
Investopedia,
lululemon,
Nike,
Under Armour
Investopedia: Another Stumble At Tibco Should Lead To Uncomfortable Questions
Every company/management team drops the ball eventually if they stay in
the game long enough. The real question is how quickly they pick the
ball up and get back to business as usual. TIBCO (Nasdaq:TIBX)
has now logged two significant consecutive disappointments, and it is
worth asking why management hasn't been more aggressive in addressing
the sales execution issues it has cited as fueling the problems.
Although I think TIBCO is underrated and could become a “platform IT company” after these growing pains, these mistakes and lost opportunities raise legitimate questions about whether management can realize that transition. TIBCO looks cheap to me, but this is not a stock that I'd recommend for nervous or risk-averse investors.
Please continue reading here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032213/another-stumble-tibco-should-lead-uncomfortable-questions-tibx-ibm-orcl-infa-msft.aspx
Although I think TIBCO is underrated and could become a “platform IT company” after these growing pains, these mistakes and lost opportunities raise legitimate questions about whether management can realize that transition. TIBCO looks cheap to me, but this is not a stock that I'd recommend for nervous or risk-averse investors.
Please continue reading here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032213/another-stumble-tibco-should-lead-uncomfortable-questions-tibx-ibm-orcl-infa-msft.aspx
Labels:
IBM,
Informatica,
Investopedia,
Microsoft,
Oracle,
Tibco
Investopedia: Oracle's Negative Surprise Underlines A Surprisingly Volatile Model
Software giant Oracle (Nasdaq:ORCL)
has always marched to the beat of its own drummer, and that willingness
to go its own way has always been a big driver of the company's
success. It doesn't come without a cost, though, as Oracle is also
surprisingly volatile on a quarter-to-quarter basis when compared to
other large tech companies like IBM (NYSE:IBM), Microsoft (Nasdaq:MSFT), and SAP (NYSE:SAP).
For the company's fiscal third quarter, that volatility swung in a very negative direction. While the shortfall may well have been due to a combination of revenue pulled forward into the surprisingly strong fiscal second quarter (as customers finished spending on 2012 budgets) and weak sales execution, investors are likely to take it as a referendum on the near-term health of the tech sector. More patient investors, though, may want to use an opportunity like this to build a position in a company that, while erratic, is also a strong performer with an interesting valuation.
Continue reading here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032113/oracles-negative-surprise-underlines-surprising-volatile-model-orcl-ibm-hpq-dell-msft.aspx
For the company's fiscal third quarter, that volatility swung in a very negative direction. While the shortfall may well have been due to a combination of revenue pulled forward into the surprisingly strong fiscal second quarter (as customers finished spending on 2012 budgets) and weak sales execution, investors are likely to take it as a referendum on the near-term health of the tech sector. More patient investors, though, may want to use an opportunity like this to build a position in a company that, while erratic, is also a strong performer with an interesting valuation.
Continue reading here:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032113/oracles-negative-surprise-underlines-surprising-volatile-model-orcl-ibm-hpq-dell-msft.aspx
Labels:
Dell,
Hewlett-Packard,
IBM,
Investopedia,
Microsoft,
Oracle
Investopedia: Have See-Through Pants Created An Opportunity In lululemon Shares?
For a stock with a take-no-prisoners valuation, the reaction to Lululemon Athletica's (Nasdaq:LULU)
sizable product recall has been quite restrained. Even with a defective
batch of the company's top product taking steam out of the first
quarter's comp growth, this company is still growing and seeing good
success in broadening its product offerings. While there is a limit to
how many missteps customers will tolerate from a company selling
premium-priced products, Lululemon has
been relatively proactive and upfront in dealing with the issue.
Although I still believe the growth expectations here are still pretty
aggressive, investors who believe otherwise could see this as an
opportunity to pick up shares.
Please follow the link for more:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032113/have-see-through-pants-created-opportunity-lululemon-shares-lulu-nke-vfc-gps-ltd.aspx
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http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032113/have-see-through-pants-created-opportunity-lululemon-shares-lulu-nke-vfc-gps-ltd.aspx
Labels:
Gap,
Investopedia,
Limited,
lululemon,
Nike,
Under Armour,
VF Corp
Friday, March 22, 2013
MassDevice: Looking Back On A Pretty Sedate ACC
Sometimes the major annual medical meetings are jam-packed with
significant and market-moving data. And then sometimes they're like this
year's American College of Cardiology conference, with relatively
limited useful data from an investing perspective.
While there was some incremental data relating to significant emerging growth markets like transcatheter valve replacement and renal denervation, the most significant data concerns one of the more uncertain market opportunities – left atrial appendage occlusion/closure.
Please follow this link for more:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/looking-back-pretty-sedate-acc?page=show
While there was some incremental data relating to significant emerging growth markets like transcatheter valve replacement and renal denervation, the most significant data concerns one of the more uncertain market opportunities – left atrial appendage occlusion/closure.
Please follow this link for more:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/looking-back-pretty-sedate-acc?page=show
MassDevice: The Chinese Medical Device Market Driven By Both Growth And Value
In recent years, medical device companies in the U.S. and Europe have
woken up to what pharmaceutical, industrial, and consumer goods
companies have known for some time – China is a major growth
opportunity. Even more recently, we've seen several well-known device
companies step into the market more directly by buying domestic Chinese
device companies. While China is indeed a huge potential device
market, the realities of the market mean that companies who can focus
on value may in fact be the ones best-positioned for growth.
Please follow this link for the full piece:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/chinese-medical-device-market-driven-both-growth-and-value?page=show
Please follow this link for the full piece:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/chinese-medical-device-market-driven-both-growth-and-value?page=show
Labels:
Biosensors,
General Electric,
MassDevice,
Medtronic,
Microport,
Mindray,
Philips,
Stryker,
Weigao,
Zimmer
MassDevice: What Has Earnings Season Told Us About Med-Tech?
As the dust settles after another earnings season, it's time to look
back at what we now know about the state of the industry. Stocks in the
sector have been enjoying a run that started in November 2012 on hopes
for improving utilization trends and earnings in 2013.
While the results and guidance from this latest round of earnings suggest that expectations around utilization may have been a bit too optimistic, it does look like the industry is on firmer footing than a year ago.
Please click here for more:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/what-has-earnings-season-told-us-about-medtech?page=show
While the results and guidance from this latest round of earnings suggest that expectations around utilization may have been a bit too optimistic, it does look like the industry is on firmer footing than a year ago.
Please click here for more:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/what-has-earnings-season-told-us-about-medtech?page=show
Seeking Alpha: The Forecast For Synchronoss Looks Cloudy, With A Chance Of Outperformance
A certain segment of the tech investor community may loathe buzzwords
like "cloud," but the reality is that it's a fixture of the landscape
for now and the core of many public company business models. One such
company is Synchronoss Technologies (SNCR),
which has created a hosted service to handle mobile phone activations
and transactions, as well as a white label personal cloud offering for
mobile customers.
While significant future growth in the company's activation business is going to hinge on signing up additional Tier 1 service providers, the growth potential in customer cloud services is hardly trivial. I think investors would do well to ask if white label cloud services are destined to become a commodity, but these shares could still hold upside from today's level.
Please continue here:
The Forecast For Synchronoss Looks Cloudy, With A Chance Of Outperformance
While significant future growth in the company's activation business is going to hinge on signing up additional Tier 1 service providers, the growth potential in customer cloud services is hardly trivial. I think investors would do well to ask if white label cloud services are destined to become a commodity, but these shares could still hold upside from today's level.
Please continue here:
The Forecast For Synchronoss Looks Cloudy, With A Chance Of Outperformance
Labels:
Apple,
AT T,
Dropbox,
Funambol,
Google,
Microsoft,
Pleex,
Seeking Alpha,
Synchronoss,
Synthesis,
Telefonica,
Verizon,
Vodafone,
VoxMobili
Thursday, March 21, 2013
Seeking Alpha: The Street Doesn't Seem To Believe Radware Will Become A Player
Wall Street doesn't typically have all that much patience with tech growth stories, so while Radware's (RDWR)
historical growth is hardly embarrassing, it doesn't seem like analysts
or investors expect big things from this company in the future. Maybe
that's fair given the slowing ADC market and the rampant competition in
security, but Radware's technology and rich cash balance could generate
more growth than currently expected.
Please click this link to continue:
The Street Doesn't Seem To Believe Radware Will Become A Player
Please click this link to continue:
The Street Doesn't Seem To Believe Radware Will Become A Player
Labels:
A10,
Check Point Software,
Cisco,
Citrix Systems,
F5,
Juniper,
Radware,
Riverbed,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Forum Energy Technologies Building A One-Stop Energy Shop
In recent years, major energy sector equipment manufacturers like Cameron (CAM), National Oilwell Varco (NOV), and FMC Technologies (FTI) have had to make way for new competitors. Most investors are probably already familiar with General Electric's (GE) ambitious growth in the offshore/subsea equipment sector, but Forum Energy Technologies (FET)
may not be as familiar to readers. While there are certainly ample
risks attendant with a debt-fueled roll-up strategy in a very cyclical
industry, investors may want to get up to speed on a company that looks
to offer a rare "soup to nuts" array of equipment and exposures in the
energy space.
Please continue here:
Forum Energy Technologies Building A One-Stop Energy Shop
Please continue here:
Forum Energy Technologies Building A One-Stop Energy Shop
Wednesday, March 20, 2013
Investopedia: Sequestration - What Will It Do, And What Should You Do?
With the deadline having come and gone with no real action from Congress, sequestration
is now the reality of the U.S. economy. Originally designed as an
unthinkable, unacceptable,
avoid-at-all-cost-because-it's-too-horrible-to-contemplate “trick,” in
order to force Congress to negotiate and achieve long-term plans for a
better balance between spending and revenue generation (taxes), Congress instead decided to think the unthinkable and let it happen.
Please continue here:
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/031513/sequestration-what-will-it-do-and-what-should-you-do.asp
Please continue here:
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/031513/sequestration-what-will-it-do-and-what-should-you-do.asp
Investopedia: General Mills Third Quarter Earnings
When Heinz (NYSE:HNZ) drew a premium-priced buyout bid from 3G Capital and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A, BRK.B),
investors got giddy about revaluing the entire packaged food sector.
Unfortunately, that looks a bit indiscriminate when it comes to General Mills (NYSE:GIS).
While this isn't a bad business per se, nor is it one where a buyer
couldn't find some room for improvement - it doesn't have the same sort
of brands, market share or international profile. General Mills' fiscal third quarter earnings weren't bad, but the shares are trading in excess of fair value today and don't look like a great holding at these prices.
Please click here to continue:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032013/general-mills-third-quarter-earnings-gis-k-post-krft-cpb.aspx
Please click here to continue:
http://www.investopedia.com/stock-analysis/032013/general-mills-third-quarter-earnings-gis-k-post-krft-cpb.aspx
Saturday, March 16, 2013
Seeking Alpha: XPO Logistics Has Huge Ambitions, But Wall Street Has Real Doubts
It doesn't feel like a stretch to say that Wall Street loves logistics. From FedEx (FDX) to Hub Group (HUBG), from Landstar (LSTR) to JB Hunt (JBHT),
most of this sector is trading very close to 52-week highs, even though
economic activity in the U.S. has been pretty "meh" recently. While CH
Robinson (CHRW) and XPO Logistics (XPO) are a bit further removed from their highs, I think the latter could be a very interesting opportunity even at these levels.
The ambitions of the XPO management team are nothing short of extraordinary - they aim to take a company that sits around the #20 spot in the U.S. truck brokerage with $280 million in revenue and grow it into the #2 player by 2016, with revenue in the range of $4 billion to $6 billion. That's an incredible goal and frankly Wall Street isn't buying it - or at least not showing a willingness to assume that XPO can grow at that rate and generate any sort of real free cash flow. If the Street is wrong and management is right, shareholders could be looking at a future multi-bagger here.
Please continue below:
XPO Logistics Has Huge Ambitions, But Wall Street Has Real Doubts
The ambitions of the XPO management team are nothing short of extraordinary - they aim to take a company that sits around the #20 spot in the U.S. truck brokerage with $280 million in revenue and grow it into the #2 player by 2016, with revenue in the range of $4 billion to $6 billion. That's an incredible goal and frankly Wall Street isn't buying it - or at least not showing a willingness to assume that XPO can grow at that rate and generate any sort of real free cash flow. If the Street is wrong and management is right, shareholders could be looking at a future multi-bagger here.
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XPO Logistics Has Huge Ambitions, But Wall Street Has Real Doubts
Labels:
Arkansas Best,
CH Robinson,
FedEx,
Hub Group,
JB Hunt,
Landstar,
Seeking Alpha,
UPS,
XPO Logistics
Seeking Alpha: Expensive And Hard To Own, Natura Cosmeticos Is Still A Great Brazil Play
Brazil may be a popular topic in international investing, but it's
actually not all that easy to invest in some of the best Brazilian
growth stories. Such is the case with Natura Cosmeticos (NUACF.PK).
Natura is a true Brazilian success story and a fantastic play on the
Brazilian consumer, but the U.S. ADR has virtually no liquidity and
Brazil is an "institutions only" market for foreign investors. That
said, there are readers who can buy these shares and even if you cannot
own Natura today, it's a stock well worth following if you want to know
more about what's going on in Brazil beyond the government-reported
statistics.
Read more here:
Expensive And Hard To Own, Natura Cosmeticos Is Still A Great Brazil Play
Read more here:
Expensive And Hard To Own, Natura Cosmeticos Is Still A Great Brazil Play
Labels:
Avon Products,
L'oreal,
LVMH,
Natura Costmeticos,
Procter Gamble,
Seeking Alpha,
Unilever
Seeking Alpha: Gordmans Stores Looking To Carve Out A Niche In The Cutthroat Retail World
I go back a long way with Gordmans Stores (GMAN).
When I was a little kid, the local Richman Gordman had a kids play area
with these huge (to a 4-yr-old) fiberglass animals that you could climb
on/through, slide down, and otherwise amuse yourself with. The play
area was always pretty full, and I think Richman Gordman was locally
popular if for no other reason than mothers could do some shopping
(these were the days when you actually could leave kids unattended to
play) while their shrieking hellions amused themselves without bothering
other shoppers.
Fast forward all too many years, and it's worth asking if the U.S. retail scene really needs yet another shopping destination. In the case of Gordmans, I think there could be something here - the company is trying to combine discount store pricing with a specialty store "feel," and shoppers have proven over and over again that they love that combination. With a good balance sheet, an economically attractive store model, and a solid expansion plan, these shares may just be a discount themselves today.
Please continue reading here:
Gordmans Stores Looking To Carve Out A Niche In The Cutthroat Retail World
Fast forward all too many years, and it's worth asking if the U.S. retail scene really needs yet another shopping destination. In the case of Gordmans, I think there could be something here - the company is trying to combine discount store pricing with a specialty store "feel," and shoppers have proven over and over again that they love that combination. With a good balance sheet, an economically attractive store model, and a solid expansion plan, these shares may just be a discount themselves today.
Please continue reading here:
Gordmans Stores Looking To Carve Out A Niche In The Cutthroat Retail World
Labels:
Gordmans Stores,
Kohls,
Seeking Alpha,
target,
TJX Companies
Seeking Alpha: Monotype Imaging Looks To Print Money
Fonts and typefaces fall into that group of technologies that nobody
thinks about unless/until they fail or don't look right. Monotype
Imaging (TYPE)
makes sure that doesn't happen often, as it is a leading developer of
text imaging software and solutions. Although the shares look reasonably
valued today, more success in emerging end-market opportunities could
lead to better-than-expected performance down the line.
Please click below to continue:
Monotype Imaging Looks To Print Money
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Monotype Imaging Looks To Print Money
Thursday, March 14, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Lawson Products Toils Away In Obscurity
I would never say that the industrial maintenance, repair, and
operations (MRO) space is wildly popular with investors, but analyst
coverage for Grainger (GWW), Fastenal (FAST), Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT), and MSC Industrial (MSM) does at least stretch into the double-digits. By comparison, Lawson Products (LAWS) is barely covered at all.
It takes more than obscurity to make a bargain, though. To that end, I'm concerned about the long history of uninspired financial performance from Lawson, as well as a business model that appears to overlap with many better-positioned rivals without a true, strong core of specialization. On the other hand, management is relatively new here and the MRO market is still scattered enough to let a company like Lawson grow.
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Lawson Products Toils Away In Obscurity
It takes more than obscurity to make a bargain, though. To that end, I'm concerned about the long history of uninspired financial performance from Lawson, as well as a business model that appears to overlap with many better-positioned rivals without a true, strong core of specialization. On the other hand, management is relatively new here and the MRO market is still scattered enough to let a company like Lawson grow.
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Lawson Products Toils Away In Obscurity
Seeking Alpha: Thinly-Traded Edwards Group Could Outperform On Semi Equipment Pickup
When it comes to companies tied to the semiconductor capital equipment
cycle, talking about valuation often feels pretty pointless. Creating
accurate long-term models is a Sisyphean task, and the realities of the
market mean that the stocks often go much too low in the bad times and
much too high in the good times. With that in mind, then, Edwards Group (EVAC)
doesn't necessarily jump out as a screaming bargain today, but I
suspect that a recovering in the cyclical semiconductor, panel, and LED
markets will lead to significant stock performance for a year or two.
Please read more here:
Thinly-Traded Edwards Group Could Outperform On Semi Equipment Pickup
Please read more here:
Thinly-Traded Edwards Group Could Outperform On Semi Equipment Pickup
Labels:
Agilent,
Applied Materials,
ASML,
Edwards Group,
Pfeiffer Vacuum,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Is Student Transportation Steering Toward A Ditch?
There's a long custom of Canadian companies structuring themselves in
such a way that they convey a large percentage of earnings and/or
operating income to shareholders in the form of dividends. In days past,
these distributions were screened from taxation by companies organizing
themselves as royalty trusts (CanRoys), but the Canadian government
largely shut that process down years ago.
In any case, Student Transportation (STB) is a Canadian company that provides school busing services in the U.S. and funnels a very large percentage of its cash flow to shareholders in the form of dividends. That has made the company a high-yield option for dividend investors, but I wonder if optimism about the company's yield and future growth prospects has run a little too hot relative to the company's underlying financial performance and valuation.
Read the full piece here:
Is Student Transportation Steering Toward A Ditch?
In any case, Student Transportation (STB) is a Canadian company that provides school busing services in the U.S. and funnels a very large percentage of its cash flow to shareholders in the form of dividends. That has made the company a high-yield option for dividend investors, but I wonder if optimism about the company's yield and future growth prospects has run a little too hot relative to the company's underlying financial performance and valuation.
Read the full piece here:
Is Student Transportation Steering Toward A Ditch?
Seeking Alpha: Can TearLabs Stay On A Tear?
As I've lamented before, there just aren't many ways for investors to
play the ophthalmology market. Aside from a few small biotech/pharma
companies and Cooper (COO), the bulk of the industry is locked away within larger companies like Allergan (AGN) and Novartis (NVS). But it's not just scarcity value that makes TearLab (TEAR)
interesting. TearLab has developed a quick test for dry eye disease
that not only can be done in the doctor's office, but is actually
profitable for the doctor to do. With an innovative test and a
tried-and-true disposables-based model with a low breakeven level,
TearLab could be an interesting small-cap speculation even here after a
doubling in the stock.
Please follow this link to continue:
Can TearLabs Stay On A Tear?
Please follow this link to continue:
Can TearLabs Stay On A Tear?
Labels:
Allergan,
Cooper Companies,
Novartis,
Seeking Alpha,
TearLab
Wednesday, March 13, 2013
Seeking Alpha: CVD Equipment - Certain Risks And Potentially Significant Returns
I'm a fan of so-called repurposed technologies - technologies that
were developed for one industry or application and are then introduced
into new areas. In that sense, I'm intrigued by CVD Equipment's (CVV)
attempts to bring chemical vapor deposition, a technique/technology
long used in semiconductor manufacturing, into areas like solar power,
LEDs, med-tech and nanotechnology. While the technologies are different,
it's a basic approach that has worked for other companies like FEI
Company (FEIC).
Unfortunately, while the basic concept of applying very thin layers of active materials to surfaces holds significant potential in many different end markets, there are many ways to skin a cat and CVD's tiny revenue base suggests that the company hasn't really made major commercial inroads yet. Applications in carbon nanotubes, nanowire, and graphene likewise hold huge theoretical potential, but there are many miles to go before it becomes anything like commonplace or commercial in scale.
Please read more here:
CVD Equipment - Certain Risks And Potentially Significant Returns
Unfortunately, while the basic concept of applying very thin layers of active materials to surfaces holds significant potential in many different end markets, there are many ways to skin a cat and CVD's tiny revenue base suggests that the company hasn't really made major commercial inroads yet. Applications in carbon nanotubes, nanowire, and graphene likewise hold huge theoretical potential, but there are many miles to go before it becomes anything like commonplace or commercial in scale.
Please read more here:
CVD Equipment - Certain Risks And Potentially Significant Returns
Labels:
Applied Materials,
CVD Equipment,
FEI,
Lam Research,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Matrix Looks To Multiple Growth Opportunities And Better Margins
It's not too hard to make money investing in companies that make
things, but successful investing in companies that build things has
proven quite a bit more challenging. Not only is there rampant
competition in engineering & construction (E&C) to keep a lid on
prices, but many a contractor has run into trouble with cost overruns.
All told, this is a sector where the relative few companies that earn
decent (or good) returns on capital are more than offset by those who
fall short - in other words, this is a sector where picking the right
company/stock matters.
Maybe Matrix Service (MTRX) is one of those better picks. The company's recent ROICs haven't been super, but nor have they been terrible. What's more, management seems to have a cogent vision for not only growing the business, but doing so in a profitable way.
Please read more here:
Matrix Looks To Multiple Growth Opportunities And Better Margins
Maybe Matrix Service (MTRX) is one of those better picks. The company's recent ROICs haven't been super, but nor have they been terrible. What's more, management seems to have a cogent vision for not only growing the business, but doing so in a profitable way.
Please read more here:
Matrix Looks To Multiple Growth Opportunities And Better Margins
Labels:
CB I,
Matrix Service,
Pike,
Seeking Alpha,
Valero,
Willbros
Seeking Alpha: Omeros Doesn't Look Like That Much Of An Opportunity
Biotechnology is hard enough all on its own without investors
complicating things with low-potential drugs in difficult markets. With
that in mind, I don't see significant opportunity in Omeros (OMER).
The company's near-term pipeline for ophthalmology and knee surgery
isn't all that promising, and the early-stage pipeline of MASP-2, PDE10,
PDE7, GPCR, and PPAR-gamma has far too little supporting data at this
point to validate a high valuation or multiple.
Please click the link for more:
Omeros Doesn't Look Like That Much Of An Opportunity
Please click the link for more:
Omeros Doesn't Look Like That Much Of An Opportunity
Labels:
Alexion,
Allergan,
Novartis,
Omeros,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: S&W Seed May Need A Breather, But The Potential Is Enticing
If you didn't grow up in a farm country, chances are the word alfalfa
conjures images of either the off-key and cowlicked member of Our Gang
or what you feed to rabbits and guinea pigs. As it happens, though,
alfalfa is a large global crop worth about $8 billion a year and a major
source of food for livestock. While S&W Seed Company (SANW)
is a very small company today, the company has big plans to grow
through added acreage, new products, and improved value capture.
These shares have had an incredible run, fueled in part by an acquisition and licensing agreement with Monsanto (MON), but likely also a sudden burst of sell-side coverage. While the shares may need to "rest" after a 50% jump over the last three months, it's not hard to generate impressive-looking growth estimates for this company.
Continue reading here:
S&W Seed May Need A Breather, But The Potential Is Enticing
These shares have had an incredible run, fueled in part by an acquisition and licensing agreement with Monsanto (MON), but likely also a sudden burst of sell-side coverage. While the shares may need to "rest" after a 50% jump over the last three months, it's not hard to generate impressive-looking growth estimates for this company.
Continue reading here:
S&W Seed May Need A Breather, But The Potential Is Enticing
Labels:
Archer Daniels Midland,
Dow Chemical,
DuPont,
Monsanto,
S W Seed,
Seeking Alpha,
Syngenta
Tuesday, March 12, 2013
Seeking Alpha: VeriFone Takes A Big Swing
While investors in VeriFone (PAY)
may feel that the board of directors has tolerated operational mistakes
for too long already, a far more definite move was made on Monday.
After the close, the company announced that CEO Doug Bergeron is
stepping down immediately from his role as CEO and leaving the board of
directors. This move certainly brings closure to an executive tenure
that had recently turned sour, but it also increases the uncertainty of
the company's near-term trajectory. On a longer term basis there would
seem to be value in the shares, but there's an uncomfortable amount of
hope in that thesis.
Read more here:
VeriFone Takes A Big Swing
Read more here:
VeriFone Takes A Big Swing
Seeking Alpha: Brasil Foods Moving From Tyson Towards Nestle
Lack of ambition has never been a problem at Brasil Foods (BRFS).
While over a third of the company's revenue currently comes from
commodity meat exports to the Mideast, Africa, and Asia, Brasil Foods
has made it abundantly clear that they don't see other Brazilian protein
companies like Marfrig or JBS as their true long-term peers, nor
American protein companies like Tyson (TSN) or Smithfield (SFD). No, Brasil Foods is playing for larger stakes - looking to become the developing world's answer to Nestle (NSRGY.PK), and they may just be ambitious enough to pull it off.
Please follow the link to continue:
Brasil Foods Moving From Tyson Towards Nestle
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Brasil Foods Moving From Tyson Towards Nestle
Labels:
Brasil Foods,
CBD,
Hormel,
Kraft Foods,
Nestle,
Seeking Alpha,
Tyson
Seeking Alpha: Arcos Dorados Somewhere Between Gold And Scrap Iron
For the most part, investors can't seem to get enough of Brazilian
consumer stocks, bidding many of them up to exceptionally demanding
valuations. And to be fair, many of these companies are producing pretty
solid growth numbers. In the case of Arcos Dorados (ARCO),
though, a combination of sluggish comp-store growth, rampant cost
inflation, and fears of competition seem to be combining to create a
stock that many investors are pretty ambivalent about today. While it is
important that investors not understate the risks to the Arcos business
model, I think these shares could be an interesting speculative play at
these levels.
Continue reading:
Arcos Dorados Somewhere Between Gold And Scrap Iron
Continue reading:
Arcos Dorados Somewhere Between Gold And Scrap Iron
Labels:
Arcos Dorados,
Burger King,
FEMSA,
McDonald's,
Seeking Alpha,
Starbucks,
Subway,
Yum Brands
Seeking Alpha: Splunk - The Next Google Or The Next Goner?
Whenever a new company emerges with a target market that is ill-defined,
both the bulls and bears dig in and get to work with their respective
promotion machines. That brings us to Splunk (SPLK). Can the company's technology and platform for collecting, processing, and analyzing machine data make it a Google (GOOG)
of log and config files, or will it just prove to be another
not-so-spectacular systems management tool, and one unworthy of a high
teens multiple on sales?
Please continue below:
Splunk - The Next Google Or The Next Goner?
Please continue below:
Splunk - The Next Google Or The Next Goner?
Labels:
Google,
Hewlett-Packard,
IBM,
Seeking Alpha,
SolarWinds,
Splunk,
Sumo Logic,
Tibco
Seeking Alpha: Measurement Specialties Doesn't Quite Measure Up
Measurement Specialties (MEAS)
is hardly a household name for most investors, as it barely has any
sell-side coverage. Even so, the institutions which own nearly 90% of
the shares haven't let the stock go unrewarded - like so many other
industrial stocks, these shares are close to their 52-week high despite
pretty unspectacular near-term expectations. While Measurement
Specialties should have ample opportunity to grow its business through
customized sensor offerings and increased per-product sensor content,
the valuation already seems to incorporate generous growth in the coming
years.
Please click here to continue:
Measurement Specialties Doesn't Quite Measure Up
Please click here to continue:
Measurement Specialties Doesn't Quite Measure Up
Sunday, March 10, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Sourcefire's Risk-Reward Seems A Little Out Of Whack
Growing tech stocks rarely look cheap by conventional metrics, and Sourcefire (FIRE)
has been an all-too-rare beat-and-raise grower even through this
slowdown in enterprise IT spending. Relative to the opportunities and
valuations at other security players like Cisco (CSCO), Check Point (CHKP), Fortinet (FTNT), and Palo Alto (PANW),
though, it's not so clear that Sourcefire is a major bargain at today's
prices. Although the potential addressable market would indeed likely
support strong revenue growth and the company's technology could make it
an acquisition target, I'm not sure Sourcefire should have this sort of
relative valuation.
Please continue here:
Sourcefire's Risk-Reward Seems A Little Out Of Whack
Please continue here:
Sourcefire's Risk-Reward Seems A Little Out Of Whack
Labels:
Check Point Software,
Cisco,
Dell,
Fortinet,
Hewlett-Packard,
IBM,
Intel,
Juniper,
Palo Alto,
Seeking Alpha,
Sourcefire,
Symantec
Seeking Alpha: Global Power Equipment Is Either A Big Value Or A Trap
By and large, investors do well for themselves if they assume that
something that looks too cheap to be believed shouldn't be believed. Of
course, carry that philosophy too far and you miss most of the really
impressive turnarounds and long-term growth stories.
That brings me to Global Power Equipment (GLPW). This company has been suffering lately from lower service demand and delayed orders, but nevertheless offers an intriguing mix of sustainable recurring revenue and leverage to natural gas-fired electricity generation expansion. A discounted cash flow suggests significant potential undervaluation, but investors would do well to remember that many power/utility-focused companies have ultimately disappointed relative to their long-range forecasts.
Please continue here:
Global Power Equipment Is Either A Big Value Or A Trap
That brings me to Global Power Equipment (GLPW). This company has been suffering lately from lower service demand and delayed orders, but nevertheless offers an intriguing mix of sustainable recurring revenue and leverage to natural gas-fired electricity generation expansion. A discounted cash flow suggests significant potential undervaluation, but investors would do well to remember that many power/utility-focused companies have ultimately disappointed relative to their long-range forecasts.
Please continue here:
Global Power Equipment Is Either A Big Value Or A Trap
Labels:
Alstom,
Babcock Wilcox,
CBI,
General Electric,
Global Power Equipment,
Mitsubishi,
Seeking Alpha,
Siemens,
SPX
Seeking Alpha: CBD - Pure Play On Brazil, But With Demanding Expectations
There's really nothing easy about Companhia Brasileira De Distribuicao (CBD),
including the explanation of why the company is called both CBD and Pao
de Acucar. While this is the second-largest retailer in all of Latin
America, and the largest in Brazil, the company has a convoluted and
contentious ownership group at a time when the company really needs to
be more focused on improving its asset turnover and returns.
The potential here is indeed very impressive, and CBD is one of the few Brazilian consumer stocks that American retail investors can invest in without going to considerable inconvenience (or accepting significant liquidity risk). That said, the stock already incorporates pretty heady expectations for growth and emerging markets are notoriously volatile.
Continue reading here:
CBD - Pure Play On Brazil, But With Demanding Expectations
The potential here is indeed very impressive, and CBD is one of the few Brazilian consumer stocks that American retail investors can invest in without going to considerable inconvenience (or accepting significant liquidity risk). That said, the stock already incorporates pretty heady expectations for growth and emerging markets are notoriously volatile.
Continue reading here:
CBD - Pure Play On Brazil, But With Demanding Expectations
Labels:
Carrefour,
CBD,
Cencosud,
Hering,
Lojas Americanas,
Lojas Renner,
Marisa,
Pao de Acucar,
Seeking Alpha,
Walmart,
Walmex
Friday, March 8, 2013
MassDevice: When It Comes To Robots, Opinions Run Hot
Robots may not have emotions, but that's certainly not the case when it
comes to the investors, doctors, and other associated people who are
involved in the surgical robotics market. From promises that robots open
up new avenues in surgery that are better and more comfortable for
patients to accusations that robots are dangerous and unnecessary, it
often feels like the middle ground is perilously thin these days. While
the utilization rates don't point to robots disappearing anytime soon,
investors in Intuitive Surgical (NSDQ:ISRG) and Mako Surgical (NSDQ:Mako) are likely looking at plenty of volatility and debate for years to come.
Please click below to continue:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/when-it-comes-robots-opinions-run-hot
Please click below to continue:
http://www.massdevice.com/blogs/massdevice/when-it-comes-robots-opinions-run-hot
Labels:
Intuitive Surgical,
MAKO Surgical,
MassDevice,
Stryker,
Zimmer
Thursday, March 7, 2013
Seeking Alpha: HeartWare Is Premium-Priced Growth, But Could Still Go Higher
Just in recent memory, investors have had little problem with talking highly-valued med-tech stories like Edwards Lifesciences (EW), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), and Cepheid (CPHD) and pushing them even higher on their uncommonly strong revenue growth numbers. Along those same lines, I think HeartWare (HTWR)
could continue to head higher, despite an already rich valuation, on
news of strong share/unit growth. That said, investors would do well to
notice that the three aforementioned stocks have all had periods where
the stock sold off pretty sharply (and pretty quickly), so HeartWare is
not for the faint of heart.
Read more here:
HeartWare Is Premium-Priced Growth, But Could Still Go Higher
Read more here:
HeartWare Is Premium-Priced Growth, But Could Still Go Higher
Seeking Alpha: Kaydon's Strong Niche Focus Doesn't Produce Quite Enough Value
I love somewhat obscure and under-followed industrial companies,
particularly when they are leaders in their markets and have quality
investors like Royce & Associates on board. That said, I find it
hard to find a lot of value in Kaydon (KDN)
shares today. Although the company has considerable market share and
pretty solid margins, the bottom-line return on capital and free cash
flow generation just aren't quite where they need to be relative to
valuation to make this a must-own right now.
Please click this link to continue:
Kaydon's Strong Niche Focus Doesn't Produce Quite Enough Value
Please click this link to continue:
Kaydon's Strong Niche Focus Doesn't Produce Quite Enough Value
Labels:
General Electric,
ITT,
Kaydon,
RBC Bearings,
Seeking Alpha,
SKF,
Timken
Seeking Alpha: Tangoe Doesn't Look Like A Must-Own SaaS Stock
Whenever there's a new sector or market within technology creating a
buzz, companies come out of the woodwork to attach themselves to the
excitement. I fear that may be the case with Tangoe (TNGO).
While there could be a real market, and a real opportunity, for
enterprise telecom expense management (TEM), I'm not sure that Tangoe's
approach is really software-as-a-service (SAAS) as opposed to more
traditional business process outsourcing (BPO). With what looks like a
potentially limited addressable market and some questions about
long-term margins, Tangoe's value proposition just doesn't entice me to
take the plunge with my own money.
Continue reading here:
Tangoe Doesn't Look Like A Must-Own SaaS Stock
Continue reading here:
Tangoe Doesn't Look Like A Must-Own SaaS Stock
Wednesday, March 6, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Aspen Pharmacare Offers Very Expensive Developing World Growth
Aspen Pharmacare (APNHY.PK)
is likely to be a very frustrating stock to many SA readers. While this
company may be one of the best publicly-traded plays on the growth of
the healthcare markets in Africa, Latin America, and Asia, the stock
already sports a very steep multiple. What's more, its ADR shares are
incredibly illiquid in the U.S., and only the Johannesburg-traded shares
(APNJ.J) offer much liquidity. But for investors who can be patient, an
opportunity to acquire shares in this company could be one of those
rare once-in-a-decade opportunities.
Please continue below:
Aspen Pharmacare Offers Very Expensive Developing World Growth
Please continue below:
Aspen Pharmacare Offers Very Expensive Developing World Growth
Labels:
Aspen Pharmacare,
EMS,
Gilead,
GlaxoSmithKline,
Johnson Johnson,
Novartis,
Sanofi,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Sun Hydraulics May Be Special, But The Valuation Isn't
With Sauer-Danfoss (SHS) having accepted a buyout offer from Danfoss A/S, I will soon need to replace a stock in my portfolio, and Sun Hydraulics (SNHY)
is a name that I've had my eye on for some time. While many companies
talk about valuing their employees and seeking innovative solutions for
their customers, Sun seems to actually do it. Unfortunately, the
qualities of this company have not gone unnoticed, and Sun is not
exactly a bargain bin option.
Please continue here:
Sun Hydraulics May Be Special, But The Valuation Isn't
Please continue here:
Sun Hydraulics May Be Special, But The Valuation Isn't
Labels:
Eaton,
Parker Hannifin,
Sauer-Danfoss,
Seeking Alpha,
Sun Hydraulics
Seeking Alpha: Quirky Raven Has The Quality, But Not So Much Value
The word quirky probably doesn't do justice to Raven Industries (RAVN),
as this small conglomerate is a leader in such disparate markets as
reinforced plastic sheeting, GPS-based controls for agricultural
equipment, and high-altitude balloons. While Raven has consistently
generated strong returns on capital, the free cash flow hasn't been as
consistent or impressive. With meaningful exposure to markets like
energy and government and what looks to be a premium valuation, I think
investors may do better to wait before making a major commitment to
Raven with their own capital.
Please read more here:
Quirky Raven Has The Quality, But Not So Much Value
Please read more here:
Quirky Raven Has The Quality, But Not So Much Value
Labels:
AGCO,
CNH Global,
Deere,
GSE Holding,
Monsanto,
Poseidon Concepts,
Raven Industries,
Seeking Alpha
Tuesday, March 5, 2013
Seeking Alpha: Ingenico Seems To Be Gaining An Edge In Payments
Credit and debit card transactions only continue to grow, but investors have clearly tired of VeriFone's (PAY)
uninspiring performance and management missteps. That leaves investors
looking to payment processors like Heartland Payment Systems (HPY) or Global Payments (GPN) to play the trend, or European payment and security companies like Gemalto (GTOMY.PK) and VeriFone's co-duopolist Ingenico (INGIY.PK).
Unfortunately, not unlike VeriFone a little while ago, it looks like
the market already expects a very full growth outlook for Ingenico.
Continue reading here:
Ingenico Seems To Be Gaining An Edge In Payments
Continue reading here:
Ingenico Seems To Be Gaining An Edge In Payments
Labels:
EBay,
Gemalto,
Ingenico,
Intuit,
Seeking Alpha,
Shenzhen Zhentong,
Square,
VeriFone
Seeking Alpha: Luminex Has Both Many Opportunities And Many Questions To Answer
While I'm not opposed to paying up for a strong growth story,
particularly in an area like molecular diagnostics (MDx), I think there
are too many questions about the basic business model at Luminex (LMNX)
to pay up for this stock today. The company does indeed have
significant potential and large addressable markets, but the combination
of inherent business model volatility, less than full control on
product development, and rampant technological and commercial
competition are all significant factors as well.
Please read the full Seeking Alpha article here:
Luminex Has Both Many Opportunities And Many Questions To Answer
Please read the full Seeking Alpha article here:
Luminex Has Both Many Opportunities And Many Questions To Answer
Labels:
Abbott Labs,
Bio-Rad,
Cepheid,
Hologic,
Illumina,
Life Technologies,
Luminex,
One Lambda,
Qiagen,
Seeking Alpha,
Thermo Fisher
Seeking Alpha: Ultratech Ultrainteresting
While a very strong year for the stock has propelled Ultratech (UTEK)
above $1 billion in market cap, this is still far from a household name
in semiconductor equipment. That could still work in investors' favor,
as Ultratech addresses several appealing markets with above-average
growth potential. Although valuation does look a little stretched,
waiting for this stock to get meaningfully cheaper could be in vain as
it offers a clean balance sheet, solid growth prospects, and leverage to
improving capital spending in the chip space.
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Ultratech Ultrainteresting
Please continue here:
Ultratech Ultrainteresting
Labels:
Applied Materials,
ASML,
Canon,
Intel,
KLA-Tencor,
Nanometrics,
Nikon,
Seeking Alpha,
Taiwan Semiconductor,
Ultratech
Seeking Alpha: Apple Vs. Samsung - Avago Wins Either Way
Although many investors, analysts, and writers are deeply invested in the "Apple (AAPL) versus Samsung (SSNLF.PK)/the
field" battle, I really don't care who wins. Instead, I try to find
companies that can prosper from the overall growth in next-gen wireless
devices, and Avago (AVGO)
looks like a good candidate. While Apple certainly matters to Avago, I
like the company's broader exposure to the handset market, not to
mention what I believe to be undervalued opportunities in wired
infrastructure and industrial/automotive markets.
Please follow this link to continue:
Apple Vs. Samsung - Avago Wins Either Way
Please follow this link to continue:
Apple Vs. Samsung - Avago Wins Either Way
Monday, March 4, 2013
Seeking Alpha: FEMSA Just Keeps Rolling
Just about everything seems to be working in favor of FEMSA (FMX) these days. Not only have volumes and margins continued to improve in the Coca-Cola FEMSA (KOF)
business, but the company's OXXO stores are lapping the competition in
terms of comp-store growth. With new opportunities in Southeast Asia,
pharmacies, and financial services, the growth outlook for this Mexican
consumer conglomerate looks quite solid.
Please read more here:
FEMSA Just Keeps Rolling
Please read more here:
FEMSA Just Keeps Rolling
Labels:
Coca Cola Femsa,
Coca-Cola,
FEMSA,
Seeking Alpha,
Walmex
Seeking Alpha: AtriCure's Frustratingly Slow Build Hides Value Beneath
Many investors like to believe that all a med-tech company has to do
is develop a product for an under-served market, secure FDA approval,
and then sit back and count the money as it rolls in. If only it were so
easy. Marketing is often overlooked as a primary challenge, as new
therapies often require doctors to change their routines and practices
and may threaten older, profitable ways of doing business.
That seems particularly relevant in the case of AtriCure (ATRC). While AtriCure has a good suite of products to treat atrial fibrillation, uptake has been slow and the company is still below the $100 million barrier in annual revenue. Although it's going to take time and patience for this company/stock to work on its own, the market opportunity is real and investors shouldn't ignore the potential that AtriCure attracts a bid from a larger med-tech player.
Continue reading here:
AtriCure's Frustratingly Slow Build Hides Value Beneath
That seems particularly relevant in the case of AtriCure (ATRC). While AtriCure has a good suite of products to treat atrial fibrillation, uptake has been slow and the company is still below the $100 million barrier in annual revenue. Although it's going to take time and patience for this company/stock to work on its own, the market opportunity is real and investors shouldn't ignore the potential that AtriCure attracts a bid from a larger med-tech player.
Continue reading here:
AtriCure's Frustratingly Slow Build Hides Value Beneath
Friday, March 1, 2013
Seeking Alpha: BroadSoft Broadsides Investors
Growth stocks have a relationship with Wall Street not unlike that
between mobsters and their "clients" - namely, "give us the growth … or
else." Unfortunately for BroadSoft (BSFT)
investors, the company had little choice but to go with "or else" with
its guidance for 2013. As revenue growth appears to be flattening, the
biggest question now is whether it's a pause or the warning sign that
the BroadSoft growth story isn't what investors thought it was. While
I'm inclined to believe that this is a pause and not a stop, investors
need to appreciate the above-average risk and volatility in this name.
Please click the link to read more:
BroadSoft Broadsides Investors
Please click the link to read more:
BroadSoft Broadsides Investors
Labels:
Acme Packet,
Alcatel Lucent,
BroadSoft,
Cisco,
Ericsson,
Huawei,
Microsoft,
Oracle,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Globus Medical Has The Growth, But What About Value?
On first glance, Globus Medical (GMED)
looks like it could be one of the unicorns of the med-tech space - a
legit growth story that the market hasn't already pushed up to a red-hot
valuation. Globus has what seems to be a sustainable culture built
around product innovation, and that steady stream of innovative products
could be just the ticket for success in a price-constrained implant
world. That said, valuation isn't quite the slam-dunk that value
investors may hope to see.
Please read more here:
Globus Medical Has The Growth, But What About Value?
Please read more here:
Globus Medical Has The Growth, But What About Value?
Labels:
Globus Medical,
Johnson Johnson,
Medtronic,
Nuvasive,
Seeking Alpha,
Stryker,
Synthes
Seeking Alpha: Joy Global Tries To Beat The Cycle With Better Margins
The mining equipment industry is in a cyclical rough patch. This is not news; we've heard similar information from Caterpillar (CAT) and Atlas Copco (ATLKY.PK) among others, and the signs of a slowdown at Joy Global (JOY)
have been apparent for some time. With the magnitude and timing of a
significant recovery both key unknowns, one of the critical factors for
Joy Global in the interim will be solid operating performance. News has
been encouraging on that front, but investors have to be pretty bullish
on the long-term outlook for the mining sector to see major value in Joy
Global shares today.
Please continue here:
Joy Global Tries To Beat The Cycle With Better Margins
Please continue here:
Joy Global Tries To Beat The Cycle With Better Margins
Labels:
Atlas Copco,
Caterpillar,
General Electric,
Joy Global,
Komatsu,
Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha: Patience With Weatherford Should Pay Off
Energy services company Weatherford (WFT)
has shown it has ample capabilities in digging deep holes - both for
its oil and gas clients and for investors. Years of "growth at any cost"
spending, lax (if not wholly inadequate) accounting, and various other
accounting misdeeds created some large problems that have been coming
home to roost more recently.
There looks to be a light at the end of the tunnel, though, and I don't believe it's an oncoming train. Weatherford has largely cleaned up its tax issues, appears close to resolving its internal accounting control problems, and should soon have closure on matters related to illegal transactions with sanctioned countries. More significantly, management has smartened up about capital allocation and profitable growth, and divestitures should lead to a more focused, more profitable, and less debt-ridden firm.
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Patience With Weatherford Should Pay Off
There looks to be a light at the end of the tunnel, though, and I don't believe it's an oncoming train. Weatherford has largely cleaned up its tax issues, appears close to resolving its internal accounting control problems, and should soon have closure on matters related to illegal transactions with sanctioned countries. More significantly, management has smartened up about capital allocation and profitable growth, and divestitures should lead to a more focused, more profitable, and less debt-ridden firm.
Click the link to continue:
Patience With Weatherford Should Pay Off
Labels:
Baker Hughes,
Dover,
General Electric,
Halliburton,
Lufkin,
Schlumberger,
Seeking Alpha,
Weatherford
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