Relative to my feelings about Gordmans Stores (GMAN) nine months ago,
a lot of my biggest worries have materialized and come home to roost,
burying the stock under a mound of guano. Sluggish traffic is an issue
across the retail space (amply demonstrated by many mall-based teen
retailers), but Gordmans seems to have particular issues with its
merchandising and it is taking a toll on same-store sales. What's more, I
really disagree with the company's decision to pay out a sizable
debt-funded special dividend earlier this year.
I feel as though I
am in an uncertain and uncomfortable place with Gordmans now. I believe
management is moving aggressively to deal with its merchandising
issues, and I do take encouragement from the apparent willingness of
developers to continue extending financing to the company. I also
continue to believe that Gordmans has a differentiated discount retail
model that can support a much bigger store footprint. The setbacks in
same-store sales and a balance sheet-induced change to my discount rate
lead me to meaningfully lower my estimated fair value here, but it still
looks as though Gordmans is undervalued relative to what I see as its
long-term prospects.
Please follow this link for the full article at Seeking Alpha:
Gordmans Stores Needs To Fix Its Merchandising, And Soon
No comments:
Post a Comment