Covering HD Supply's (HDS) first quarter, I thought
that the company was a solid collection of assets with real upside to a
recovery in construction and internal operating margin improvement, but
I thought the valuation was a little rich. I remarked that the shares
would be more interesting at $20, and sure enough investors had a couple
of days in which they could have bought below that level.
Since
then the shares are up 10% even though the company is not doing
particularly well staying on target with respect to sell-side estimates.
Even though the company reset revenue expectations lower once again,
and a change in CFOs so soon after an IPO is alarming, it looks like
investors are more focused on the EBITDA margin improvement and the
long-term prospects. I still believe that there are better options in
the distribution sector, but I'll also acknowledge that Wall Street
*wants* to like this story and there's room for both operating results
and multiples to head higher.
Please follow this link for the full Seeking Alpha article:
Wall Street Slow To Abandon HD Supply's Long-Term Story
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