This hasn't been the easiest year for pawn and payday lenders not named First Cash Financial (FCFS), and EZCORP (EZPW)
has certainly found itself caught in that downdraft, with the shares
down more than 40% over the past year. While fellow Seeking Alpha writer
Igor Novgorodtsev gave a good rundown
on EZCORP's gold scrapping issues, I believe there is more at work here
than just the price and profitability of gold scrapping. Not only does
EZCORP have a shareholder-unfriendly structure, but the company's losses
on consumer loans and market positioning both concern me.
Now,
the real question is how much a "concern" is worth. I think First Cash
is hands down the better company (and I've owned it for quite a while),
but it's hard to see EZCORP get hammered to such a level and not wonder
if it has gone past the point where enough's enough. I do worry about
EZCORP's fundamental market positioning and the risk to the model from
both credit losses and regulatory changes, but even conservative
assumptions seem to suggest these shares could hold real turnaround
potential.
Follow this link to continue:
It's Not Just Gold That's Troubling EZCORP
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