With Syngenta and Monsanto
off the market, investors don’t have a lot of great pure-play
investment options for bio-ag, even though this remains a very large and
vibrant area of R&D activity. This brings me to Calyxt (CLXT),
a company custom-built to apply gene editing tools to the development
of new crop varieties. Although there is little comparison between what
Calyxt is now and what Syngenta and Monsanto were in the years leading
up to their acquisitions, I nevertheless believe this is an interesting
speculative option in the bio-ag space.
Modeling a
pre-revenue company like Calyxt involves considerable guesswork, and
that guesswork is made all the more difficult by Calyxt’s decision to
pursue an uncommon (and in my opinion, risky) commercialization strategy
with its initial products that will see the company take a much more
direct role in selling semi-finished products (ingredients) to food
companies, rather than the proven model of selling seeds (and
technically licensing traits) to farmers. While absolutely acknowledging
the elevated modeling risk and uncertainty, I believe Calyxt shares
have some appeal at this level if you accept the premise that the
company good reach $500 million in revenue in six years, over $1 billion
in nine years, and $2 billion in 15 years.
Read the full article here:
Calyxt Going Boldly Forward With A Different Bio-Ag Model
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