Cheapness, relative, or absolute, rarely moves stocks
all on its own. More often, it requires a meaningful change in the
trajectory of the underlying business (the dreaded overused and misused
word "catalyst") or in the perception of the overall sector. In the case
of Hartford (HIG),
management has done some good things lately - selling the Talcott
business, raising prices, and boosting overall underwriting profits -
but the larger P&C sector seems to be drifting without much real
pricing power and worries about weaker reserves and rising claims
inflation.
I continue to believe that Hartford is
undervalued and worth owning, but I can't say with much confidence that
it's going to be a near-term outperformer. It will take time for the
market to fully reward the emerging underwriting profitability
improvements and likely even more time for investor love to rotate back
to insurers.
Follow this link for more:
Hartford Undervalued And Improving In A Sector That Seems Adrift
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